Central League: Gap to Expected, 20 Seasons

Data as of

As of the end of Oct 8, 2026, this season's biggest Central League overperformer against the past 20 seasons' top 8: Yakult at +5.4 wins is outside the top 8.

Biggest overperformers, 2006-2025: top 8

Club names are shown as they were at the time.

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Year Team Record RS/RA Expected
wins		 Actual vs
expected
2015 Hanshin Tigers 70 - 71 (2) 465 / 550 59.8 +10.3
2020 Chunichi Dragons 60 - 55 (5) 429 / 489 50.6 +9.4
2007 Hanshin Tigers 74 - 66 (4) 518 / 561 64.9 +9.1
2012 Chunichi Dragons 75 - 53 (16) 423 / 405 66.5 +8.5
2011 Tokyo Yakult Swallows 70 - 59 (15) 484 / 504 62.1 +7.9
2024 Chunichi Dragons 60 - 75 (8) 373 / 478 52.4 +7.6
2022 Yokohama DeNA BayStars 73 - 68 (2) 497 / 534 65.9 +7.1
2022 Chunichi Dragons 66 - 75 (2) 414 / 495 59.1 +6.9
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Biggest underperformers, 2006-2025: bottom 6

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Year Team Record RS/RA Expected
wins		 Actual vs
expected
2022 Hanshin Tigers 68 - 71 (4) 489 / 428 77.9 −9.9
2023 Tokyo Yakult Swallows 57 - 83 (3) 534 / 567 66.2 −9.2
2007 Tokyo Yakult Swallows 60 - 84 596 / 623 69.1 −9.1
2008 Yokohama BayStars 48 - 94 (2) 552 / 706 55.3 −7.3
2018 Yomiuri Giants 67 - 71 (5) 625 / 575 74.3 −7.2
2011 Hanshin Tigers 68 - 70 (6) 482 / 443 74.3 −6.3

See nextClub strength breakdownFirst-place club in its leagueHanshin PitchingA+ BattingA−Club strength breakdownHighest-rated battersFirst-place club in its leagueHanshin 佐藤 輝明S+ 森下 翔太SHighest-rated battersHighest-rated pitchersFirst-place club in its leagueHanshin 髙橋 遥人A− 村上 頌樹A−Highest-rated pitchersOriginsFirst-team players by the route they joined the club

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The estimated figures are worked out by this site and are not official announcements.

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