NPB CS Berth Line: How Many Wins? (2026)

Data as of
  • ✓Hanshin 0 - 4 Yakult

The one game today is included as provisional results (official figures update the next morning)

Central League

Hanshin Berth secured
DeNA Berth secured
Yomiuri Berth secured

Median CS line: 71 wins

Pacific League

SoftBank Berth secured
Seibu Berth secured
Nippon-Ham Berth secured

Median CS line: 78 wins

end of Oct 8, 2026 / npbc.media

Based on the outlook at the end of Oct 8, 2026, the guide for the CS berth line (third place) is 71 wins in the Central League and 78 wins in the Pacific League.

The 'Climax Series line' is the final win total you roughly need to finish in the top three of your league and reach the Climax Series.

How many wins to the CS line?

Third-place DeNA have clinched a Climax Series berth. Third-place Nippon-Ham have clinched a Climax Series berth.

Central League How many wins to the CS line?end of Oct 8, 2026npbc.media
  • Hanshin Berth secured 79 W 62 L 2 T, 0 left
  • Yomiuri Berth secured 76 W 64 L 3 T, 0 left
  • DeNA Berth secured 71 W 69 L 3 T, 0 left
  • Hiroshima Out of reach this season 61 W 78 L 4 T, 0 left
  • Yakult Out of reach this season 61 W 80 L 2 T, 0 left
  • Chunichi Out of reach this season 60 W 81 L 2 T, 0 left
Pacific League How many wins to the CS line?end of Oct 8, 2026npbc.media
  • SoftBank Berth secured 91 W 49 L 3 T, 0 left
  • Seibu Berth secured 79 W 60 L 4 T, 0 left
  • Nippon-Ham Berth secured 78 W 62 L 3 T, 0 left
  • ORIX Out of reach this season 65 W 76 L 2 T, 0 left
  • Lotte Out of reach this season 63 W 77 L 3 T, 0 left
  • Rakuten Out of reach this season 58 W 84 L 1 T, 0 left

"X more wins" counts down to the pennant / CS line guides, not a magic number (pennant or CS) that guarantees a clinch. Read how this differs from magic numbers

And the pennant line? See the pennant-line lookup
How high are the Climax Series odds? Climax Series berth odds

See nextClub strength breakdownFirst-place club in its leagueHanshin PitchingS− BattingASoftBank PitchingC− BattingA−Club strength breakdownHighest-rated pitchersFirst-place club in its leagueHanshin 髙橋 遥人A+ 村上 頌樹A+SoftBank 津森 宥紀B+ ヘルナンデスB+Highest-rated pitchersPostseasonChampionship odds SoftBank57.9% Hanshin30.5%CS First Stage from Sat, Oct 10 Yomiuri vs DeNA Seibu vs Nippon-HamChampionship odds and the postseasonBaseball quizExample Avg this week.850 Off the bench2 days Cleanup hitterTake today's 10 questions

Reachable win ranges

Each bar runs from losing out (current wins) to winning out. Vertical lines mark the guide for the pennant and Climax Series lines. The small tick on each bar marks where the club lands if it plays .500 ball the rest of the way.

Central League Reachable win ranges end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media 60 65 70 75 80 Final wins Median pennant line 79 Median CS line 71 Hanshin 79 79 Yomiuri 76 76 DeNA 71 71 Hiroshima 61 61 Yakult 61 61 Chunichi 60 60

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Central League Reachable win ranges end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media 60 70 80 Final wins Median pennant line 79 Median CS line 71 T 79 79 G 76 76 DB 71 71 C 61 61 S 61 61 D 60 60
Pacific League Reachable win ranges end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media 60 70 80 90 Final wins Median pennant line 91 Median CS line 78 SoftBank 91 91 Seibu 79 79 Nippon-Ham 78 78 ORIX 65 65 Lotte 63 63 Rakuten 58 58

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Pacific League Reachable win ranges end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media 60 70 80 90 Final wins Median pennant line 91 Median CS line 78 H 91 91 L 79 79 F 78 78 B 65 65 M 63 63 E 58 58
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Data table

The share of projected seasons in which a final total of X wins reached the line. Standings are decided by winning percentage, so ties can shift the outcome at the same win total.

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Central League
Final wins Reached CS line
(top 3) (%)		 Reached pennant
line (%)
71 100 0
72 100 0
73 100 0
74 100 0
75 100 0
76 100 0
77 100 0
78 100 0

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Pacific League
Final wins Reached CS line
(top 3) (%)		 Reached pennant
line (%)
78 100 0
79 100 0
80 100 0
81 100 0
82 100 0
83 100 0
84 100 0
85 100 0
86 100 0
87 100 0
88 100 0
89 100 0
90 100 0
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Side-by-side wins needed by club

Each row is a final win total, and each cell is the remaining record needed to reach it. Reading across a row compares the records that would leave the clubs level on wins. The top row shows each club's maximum if they win out. The '.500 pace' mark inside a cell shows where that club lands if it plays .500 ball the rest of the way (rounded up when the club has an odd number of games left). Standings are decided by winning percentage, so ties can shift the order at the same win total.

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Central League
Final wins T G DB C S D
If they win out 79 wins 76 wins 71 wins 61 wins 61 wins 60 wins
79 winsMedian pennant line Reached.500 pace Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach
78 wins Reached Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach
77 wins Reached Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach
76 wins Reached Reached.500 pace Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach
75 wins Reached Reached Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach
74 wins Reached Reached Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach
73 wins Reached Reached Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach
72 wins Reached Reached Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach
71 winsMedian CS line Reached Reached Reached.500 pace Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach
70 wins Reached Reached Reached Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach
69 wins Reached Reached Reached Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach
68 wins Reached Reached Reached Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach
67 wins Reached Reached Reached Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach
66 wins Reached Reached Reached Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach
65 wins Reached Reached Reached Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach
64 wins Reached Reached Reached Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach
63 wins Reached Reached Reached Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach
62 wins Reached Reached Reached Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach
61 wins Reached Reached Reached Reached.500 pace Reached.500 pace Out of reach
60 wins Reached Reached Reached Reached Reached Reached.500 pace
59 wins Reached Reached Reached Reached Reached Reached

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Pacific League
Final wins H L F B M E
If they win out 91 wins 79 wins 78 wins 65 wins 63 wins 58 wins
91 winsMedian pennant line Reached.500 pace Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach
90 wins Reached Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach
89 wins Reached Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach
88 wins Reached Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach
87 wins Reached Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach
86 wins Reached Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach
85 wins Reached Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach
84 wins Reached Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach
83 wins Reached Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach
82 wins Reached Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach
81 wins Reached Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach
80 wins Reached Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach
79 wins Reached Reached.500 pace Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach
78 winsMedian CS line Reached Reached Reached.500 pace Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach
77 wins Reached Reached Reached Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach
76 wins Reached Reached Reached Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach
75 wins Reached Reached Reached Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach
74 wins Reached Reached Reached Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach
73 wins Reached Reached Reached Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach
72 wins Reached Reached Reached Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach
71 wins Reached Reached Reached Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach
70 wins Reached Reached Reached Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach
69 wins Reached Reached Reached Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach
68 wins Reached Reached Reached Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach
67 wins Reached Reached Reached Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach
66 wins Reached Reached Reached Out of reach Out of reach Out of reach
65 wins Reached Reached Reached Reached.500 pace Out of reach Out of reach
64 wins Reached Reached Reached Reached Out of reach Out of reach
63 wins Reached Reached Reached Reached Reached.500 pace Out of reach
62 wins Reached Reached Reached Reached Reached Out of reach
61 wins Reached Reached Reached Reached Reached Out of reach
60 wins Reached Reached Reached Reached Reached Out of reach
59 wins Reached Reached Reached Reached Reached Out of reach
58 wins Reached Reached Reached Reached Reached Reached.500 pace
57 wins Reached Reached Reached Reached Reached Reached
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Share that reached the line, by final win total

Each step curve shows the share of projected seasons in which a final total of X wins reached the line. The win total where a curve crosses 50% is the guide for that line.

Roughly 71 wins for the CS line and 79 for the pennant are the 50-50 guides.

Central League Share that reached the line, by final win total end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media 0 25 50 75 100 50% = coin-flip guide 60 65 70 75 80 Final wins Share that reached the line (%) CS: 50-50 at 71 wins Pennant: 50-50 at 79 wins CS: near-certain at 72 wins

Scroll right to see the full chart

Central League Share that reached the line, by final win total end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media 0 50 100 50% = coin-flip guide 60 70 80 Final wins Share that reached the line (%) CS: 50-50 at 71 wins Pennant: 50-50 at 79 wins CS: near-certain at 72 wins

Roughly 78 wins for the CS line and 91 for the pennant are the 50-50 guides.

Pacific League Share that reached the line, by final win total end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media 0 25 50 75 100 50% = coin-flip guide 60 70 80 90 Final wins Share that reached the line (%) CS: 50-50 at 78 wins Pennant: 50-50 at 91 wins CS: near-certain at 79 wins

Scroll right to see the full chart

Pacific League Share that reached the line, by final win total end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media 0 50 100 50% = coin-flip guide 60 70 80 90 Final wins Share that reached the line (%) CS: 50-50 at 78 wins Pennant: 50-50 at 91 wins CS: near-certain at 79 wins
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CS clinch dates

The estimated figures are worked out by this site and are not official announcements.

What the Climax Series line is: top three by winning percentage

The top three clubs of each league's regular season advance to the Climax Series. Standings are decided by winning percentage (wins divided by decisions) with ties dropped from the denominator, so at the same win total a club with more ties shows a higher percentage. 'How many wins gets you to the CS' is therefore a relative number that depends on that season's ties and on who is fighting for third place.

The reach rate is the share of finishes with X wins that ended in the top three. The 'median CS line' is the smallest win total at which the reach rate exceeds 50 percent.

The win total you roughly need to win the pennant (the pennant line) has its own lookup page in the same format. The charts on this page also show the pennant line as a reference. How many more wins lock a top-three finish in is on the Central League CS clinch numbers and Pacific League CS clinch numbers.

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The same calculation as the odds board

The computation uses the same calculation as the pennant race odds board. Each projected season is ranked with the official standings rules, tiebreakers included. The numbers are this site's own estimates, not official announcements.

Frequently asked questions

What is the Climax Series?

It is NPB's postseason format in which the top three clubs of each league play for the right to reach the Japan Series, held in both leagues since 2007. A third-place finish keeps the road to the championship open even without a pennant.

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Sources and references

Related articles

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