NPB Climax Series Survival Odds (2026)

Central League

Hanshin 77.7%
Yomiuri 13.6%
DeNA 8.7%

Japan Series odds

Pacific League

SoftBank 92.1%
Seibu 4.5%
Nippon-Ham 3.4%

Japan Series odds

end of Oct 8, 2026 / npbc.media

As of Oct 8, 2026, the best Japan Series odds belong to Hanshin (77.7%) in the Central League and SoftBank (92.1%) in the Pacific League.

Japan Series odds are each club's chance of surviving the CS and reaching the Japan Series, worked out from how its remaining games are likely to go.

Japan Series odds board

Central League

Scroll right for W-L, PCT and more

Standing Team Two gates to the Japan Series (narrowing left to right) W - L (T) PCT
CS Final Stage odds Japan Series odds
1 Hanshin 100% 77.7% 79 - 62 (2) .560
2 Yomiuri 59.3% 13.6% 76 - 64 (3) .543
3 DeNA 40.7% 8.7% 71 - 69 (3) .507
4 Hiroshima 0% 0% 61 - 78 (4) .439
5 Yakult 0% 0% 61 - 80 (2) .433
6 Chunichi 0% 0% 60 - 81 (2) .426
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Pacific League

Scroll right for W-L, PCT and more

Standing Team Two gates to the Japan Series (narrowing left to right) W - L (T) PCT
CS Final Stage odds Japan Series odds
1 SoftBank 100% 92.1% 91 - 49 (3) .650
2 Seibu 57.6% 4.5% 79 - 60 (4) .568
3 Nippon-Ham 42.4% 3.4% 78 - 62 (3) .557
4 ORIX 0% 0% 65 - 76 (2) .461
5 Lotte 0% 0% 63 - 77 (3) .450
6 Rakuten 0% 0% 58 - 84 (1) .408

The estimated figures are worked out by this site and are not official announcements.

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Japan Series odds over time

Central League Japan Series odds over time end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media Interleague 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct T 77.4% G 13.7% DB 8.9% C 0% D 0% S 0%

Scroll right to see the full chart

Central League Japan Series odds over time end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media Interleague 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Apr Jun Aug Oct T 77.4% G 13.7% DB 8.9% C 0% D 0% S 0%
Pacific League Japan Series odds over time end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media Interleague 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct H 92% L 4.7% F 3.3% B 0% E 0% M 0%

Scroll right to see the full chart

Pacific League Japan Series odds over time end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media Interleague 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Apr Jun Aug Oct H 92% L 4.7% F 3.3% B 0% E 0% M 0%
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Reading the board - and how the postseason works

Each league board lists all six clubs in descending order of Japan Series odds. The two probability columns are the two gates to the Japan Series, read left to right: ① 'CS Final Stage odds' is the chance of reaching the CS Final Stage, either by winning the pennant or by coming through the First Stage; ② 'Japan Series odds' means the same thing as the chance of surviving the Climax Series. The second gate can only keep the probability the same or make it smaller. 'Standing' shows the club's place in the official table - a lower-placed club can carry better odds when its remaining schedule and underlying strength favour it.

The estimate runs the postseason under the official format. In the CS First Stage the second- and third-place clubs play a best-of-three (first to two wins, all games hosted by the runner-up). In the Final Stage the league champion starts with a one-win advantage over a maximum of six games (first to four counting the advantage, all games at the champion's park), and the winner advances to the Japan Series, where the two league representatives play first to four wins for the championship. From 2026, if the league champion finishes 10 or more games ahead of the First Stage winner, or the First Stage winner ends the season with more losses than wins, the Final Stage instead runs to a maximum of seven games with a two-win advantage (first to five counting the advantage). The estimate applies the same official test and plays the series out in the same format.

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Reading the odds-over-time chart

Because it also reflects the race for third place, the lines change hands more often than in the pennant odds chart.

A displayed 100% or 0% is the result of rounding to one decimal place and does not necessarily mean mathematical certainty or elimination.

The same calculation as the odds board

The computation uses the same calculation as the pennant race odds board. Each projected season is ranked with the official standings rules, tiebreakers included. The numbers are this site's own estimates, not official announcements.

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Sources and references

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