NPB Over/Underperformers: Past 20 Seasons

Data as of

As of the end of Oct 8, 2026, against the past 20 seasons' top 10 overperformers, this season's biggest: Central League, Yakult at +5.4 wins is outside the top 10; Pacific League, ORIX at +8.8 wins ranks No. 4.

Biggest overperformers, 2006-2025: top 10

Club names are shown as they were at the time.

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Year Team Record RS/RA Expected
wins		 Actual vs
expected
2015 Hanshin Tigers 70 - 71 (2) 465 / 550 59.8 +10.3
2020 Chunichi Dragons 60 - 55 (5) 429 / 489 50.6 +9.4
2007 Hanshin Tigers 74 - 66 (4) 518 / 561 64.9 +9.1
2012 Chunichi Dragons 75 - 53 (16) 423 / 405 66.5 +8.5
2011 Tokyo Yakult Swallows 70 - 59 (15) 484 / 504 62.1 +7.9
2024 Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles 67 - 72 (4) 492 / 579 59.2 +7.8
2024 Chunichi Dragons 60 - 75 (8) 373 / 478 52.4 +7.6
2022 Yokohama DeNA BayStars 73 - 68 (2) 497 / 534 65.9 +7.1
2025 Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles 67 - 74 (2) 446 / 526 59.9 +7.1
2022 Chunichi Dragons 66 - 75 (2) 414 / 495 59.1 +6.9
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Biggest underperformers, 2006-2025: bottom 10

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Year Team Record RS/RA Expected
wins		 Actual vs
expected
2022 Hanshin Tigers 68 - 71 (4) 489 / 428 77.9 −9.9
2023 Tokyo Yakult Swallows 57 - 83 (3) 534 / 567 66.2 −9.2
2007 Tokyo Yakult Swallows 60 - 84 596 / 623 69.1 −9.1
2021 Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks 60 - 62 (21) 564 / 493 68.5 −8.5
2013 Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks 73 - 69 (2) 660 / 562 81.4 −8.4
2008 Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles 65 - 76 (3) 627 / 607 72.6 −7.6
2008 Yokohama BayStars 48 - 94 (2) 552 / 706 55.3 −7.3
2018 Yomiuri Giants 67 - 71 (5) 625 / 575 74.3 −7.2
2023 Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters 60 - 82 (1) 464 / 496 66.7 −6.7
2011 Hanshin Tigers 68 - 70 (6) 482 / 443 74.3 −6.3

See nextClub strength breakdownFirst-place club in its leagueHanshin PitchingA+ BattingA−SoftBank PitchingC− BattingA−Club strength breakdownHighest-rated battersFirst-place club in its leagueHanshin 佐藤 輝明S+ 森下 翔太SSoftBank 近藤 健介S 栗原 陵矢SHighest-rated battersHighest-rated pitchersFirst-place club in its leagueHanshin 髙橋 遥人A− 村上 頌樹A−SoftBank 津森 宥紀B+ ヘルナンデスB+Highest-rated pitchersOrigins, all 12First-team players by the route they joined the club

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The estimated figures are worked out by this site and are not official announcements.

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