NPB Remaining Schedule Difficulty 2026

Central League

Toughest run-in Hiroshima .518
Easiest run-in Yomiuri .448

Pacific League

Toughest run-in Rakuten .548
Easiest run-in Nippon-Ham .441

end of Sep 20, 2026 / npbc.media

The toughest remaining schedule belongs to Hiroshima (.518) in the Central League and Rakuten (.548) in the Pacific League. The easiest belongs to Yomiuri (.448) and Nippon-Ham (.441). The figure is the average current winning percentage of the remaining opponents, so a higher number means stronger opponents ahead.

The same number of games left can weigh very differently depending on who is left to play. This page derives each club's remaining schedule difficulty from the remaining matchups and shows it per league, both as a table and as a chart of the gap from the league average. A higher number means stronger opponents still to come.

Remaining schedule difficulty

The average current winning percentage of remaining opponents, weighted by games remaining against each. Higher means a tougher run-in. Home/away, travel, schedule density, recent form and head-to-head records against each opponent are not considered.

Central League

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Difficulty rank Team Left Avg. opponent pct
1 Hiroshima 13 .518
2 Yakult 10 .504
3 DeNA 9 .497
4 Hanshin 12 .464
5 Chunichi 7 .451
6 Yomiuri 9 .448
Central League Remaining schedule difficulty end of Sep 20, 2026 npbc.media ← Tougher Easier → Hiroshima −3.8 Yakult −2.4 DeNA −1.7 Hanshin +1.6 Chunichi +3.0 Yomiuri +3.2

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Central League Remaining schedule difficulty end of Sep 20, 2026 npbc.media ← Tougher Easier → C −3.8 S −2.4 DB −1.7 T +1.6 D +3.0 G +3.2

Pacific League

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Difficulty rank Team Left Avg. opponent pct
1 Rakuten 12 .548
2 ORIX 8 .535
3 Lotte 14 .526
4 Seibu 9 .489
5 SoftBank 9 .467
6 Nippon-Ham 8 .441
Pacific League Remaining schedule difficulty end of Sep 20, 2026 npbc.media ← Tougher Easier → Rakuten −4.7 ORIX −3.4 Lotte −2.5 Seibu +1.2 SoftBank +3.4 Nippon-Ham +6.0

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Pacific League Remaining schedule difficulty end of Sep 20, 2026 npbc.media ← Tougher Easier → E −4.7 B −3.4 M −2.5 L +1.2 H +3.4 F +6.0

Darker cells mean a tougher remaining schedule (a higher average opponent winning percentage).

Bars and numbers show the gap from the league average in winning-percentage points (100x). Further right means an easier run-in; further left means tougher opponents remain. The difficulty column in the table is the winning percentage itself.

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Strength of schedule: the same games left can weigh differently

Down the stretch, who you still have to play matters as much as how many games remain. The difficulty shown here (SoS, strength of schedule) is the average current winning percentage of remaining opponents, weighted by the number of games left against each. Higher means more strong opponents ahead.

It is a deliberately simple definition: home/away splits, travel, schedule density and recent form are not considered. Note that the odds board's simulation already bakes in the remaining matchups themselves.

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Reading difficulty together with games remaining

The difficulty figure describes only how strong the remaining opponents are; how many games are left against them appears in the table's games-remaining column. Two clubs with the same difficulty are in very different positions if one has twenty games left and the other five. The table is meant to be read across both columns.

The chart shows the gap from the league average in winning-percentage points (the percentage multiplied by 100). A bar to the right means an easier schedule than the league average, to the left a tougher one. The difficulty in the table is the winning percentage itself, so the chart and the table use different units.

A club with no games left has no difficulty figure, so the table shows a dash. When fewer than two clubs in a league can be compared, the chart and the headline answer are omitted.

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Frequently asked questions

How is the schedule difficulty (SoS) computed?

It is the weighted average of remaining opponents' current winning percentage, with games remaining against each opponent as weights. Home/away, travel, schedule density and recent form are not considered.

Why can a club with a tough remaining schedule still be higher in the standings?

Because the difficulty figure looks only at the strength of the opponents still to come and contains none of the results so far. The standings are the record to date; the difficulty is who is left. They describe different things.

Which games count toward the difficulty?

Every game left against an opponent the club still has at least one game with. Opponents with no games left carry zero weight and drop out. A club with no games left at all has no difficulty figure and is shown as a dash.

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