How often the higher seed advanced
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| Stage | Matchups | Higher seed advanced |
Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| First Stage (no advantage) | 38 | 18 | 47.4 % |
| Final Stage (with advantage) | 39 | 31 | 79.5 % |
| Total | 77 | 49 | 63.6 % |
The 2007 Final Stage was played without an advantage for the champion.
Higher-seed advance rate by games behind
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| Games behind | First Stage | Final Stage |
|---|---|---|
| 0–2 | 6 / 13 (46.2 %) | 4 / 6 (66.7 %) |
| over 2–5 | 6 / 14 (42.9 %) | 5 / 6 (83.3 %) |
| over 5, under 10 | 4 / 7 (57.1 %) | 5 / 9 (55.6 %) |
| 10 or more | 2 / 4 (50.0 %) | 17 / 18 (94.4 %) |
Games behind is the gap between the two clubs in the final regular-season standings. Cells show higher-seed advances / matchups (rate).
The advantage in theory
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| Win rate per game |
First 3 games |
Final 6 games |
Final 7 games |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 % | 50.0 % | 65.6 % | 77.3 % |
| 55 % | 57.5 % | 74.5 % | 84.7 % |
| 60 % | 64.8 % | 82.1 % | 90.4 % |
Cells show the odds that the higher seed advances. Final Stage advantage for the champion: 1 win in the 6-game format, 2 wins in the 7-game format (counted as wins). The First Stage has no advantage. Single-game win rate is from the higher seed's side, with no ties.
How far ahead were the pennant winners who lost, and would the new format have saved them? Climax Series upsets and games back
This season's odds for each matchup? Climax Series survival odds & schedule
How many wins, and when the advantage changes? Climax Series rules
Every matchup and result, and the third-place upsets? Climax Series results by year
Is the Climax Series necessary or unfair? The numbers Climax Series fairness