The 2021 Pennant Race

Central League

Champion Tokyo Yakult Swallows

Pacific League

Champion ORIX Buffaloes

A season archive covering the standings and game results. Rows follow the official final standings.

Final standings (official)

Central League

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RankTeamGWLTPCTGB
1Tokyo Yakult Swallows Champion143735218.584
2Hanshin Tigers143775610.5790.0
3Yomiuri Giants143616220.49611.0
4Hiroshima Toyo Carp143636812.48113.0
5Chunichi Dragons143557117.43718.5
6Yokohama DeNA BayStars143547316.42520.0

Pacific League

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RankTeamGWLTPCTGB
1ORIX Buffaloes Champion143705518.560
2Chiba Lotte Marines143675719.5402.5
3Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles143666215.5165.5
4Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks143606221.4928.5
5Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters143556820.44714.0
6Saitama Seibu Lions143557018.44015.0

Season highlights

Central League Longest win streak: Tokyo Yakult Swallows, 9 in a row Best games over .500 (in-season peak): Tokyo Yakult Swallows at +24 Days in first place: Hanshin Tigers (125 days)

At the end of August, eventual champion Tokyo Yakult Swallows stood at 27.8% in this model.

Eventual champion Tokyo Yakult Swallows bottomed out at 0.8% in this model (as of May 11, 2021).

Pacific League Longest win streak: ORIX Buffaloes, 11 in a row Best games over .500 (in-season peak): ORIX Buffaloes at +16 Days in first place: ORIX Buffaloes (73 days)

At the end of August, eventual champion ORIX Buffaloes stood at 56.2% in this model.

Eventual champion ORIX Buffaloes bottomed out at 0.4% in this model (as of Apr 18, 2021).

Days in first place are counted per day with games played.

Games over .500

Balance = wins minus losses. The horizontal zero line is the .500 mark. The ▼ marks along the top of the plot show the days the lead changed hands, colored for the new leader.

Central League Games over .5002021 seasonnpbc.mediaInterleague−20±0+20AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovS +21T +21G −1C −5D −16DB −19S best balance +24CGTGTS
Central League Games over .5002021 seasonnpbc.mediaInterleague−20±0+20AprMayJunJulAugOctNovS +21T +21G −1C −5D −16DB −19S best balance +24CGGTS
Pacific League Games over .5002021 seasonnpbc.mediaInterleague−20−10±0+10AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovB +15M +10E +4H −2F −13L −15B best balance +16LEHEHEHEBMBBMBMB
Pacific League Games over .5002021 seasonnpbc.mediaInterleague−20−10±0+10AprMayJunJulAugOctNovB +15M +10E +4H −2F −13L −15B best balance +16LEHEHEEBMBBMB

Standings over time

Daily standings ordered by winning percentage (wins over decisions) at the end of each day. Teams tied on percentage share the same rank, so lines can overlap. Official tiebreakers such as head-to-head records are not applied to the daily series.

Central League Standings over time2021 seasonnpbc.media123456AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovS #1T #2G #3C #4D #5DB #6
Central League Standings over time2021 seasonnpbc.media123456AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovS #1T #2G #3C #4D #5DB #6
Pacific League Standings over time2021 seasonnpbc.media123456AprMayJunJulAugSepOctB #1M #2E #3H #4F #5L #6
Pacific League Standings over time2021 seasonnpbc.media123456AprMayJunJulAugSepOctB #1M #2E #3H #4F #5L #6

Win-loss calendar

A tall dark cell is a win, a short light cell a loss, and a thin line a tie - the heights keep the chart readable even without color. Doubleheaders split the day's cell vertically.

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Central League Win-loss calendar2021 seasonnpbc.mediaWinLossTieTokyo Yakult Swallows73 - 52 - 18Hanshin Tigers77 - 56 - 10Yomiuri Giants61 - 62 - 20Hiroshima Toyo Carp63 - 68 - 12Chunichi Dragons55 - 71 - 17Yokohama DeNA BayStars54 - 73 - 16AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov

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Pacific League Win-loss calendar2021 seasonnpbc.mediaWinLossTieORIX Buffaloes70 - 55 - 18Chiba Lotte Marines67 - 57 - 19Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles66 - 62 - 15Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks60 - 62 - 21Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters55 - 68 - 20Saitama Seibu Lions55 - 70 - 18AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov

Pennant odds over time

Estimates from re-running the current board's model on each day's data. Probabilities do not guarantee outcomes.

Central League Pennant odds over time2021 seasonnpbc.mediaInterleague0%20%40%60%80%100%AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovS 100%C 0%D 0%DB 0%G 0%T 0%
Central League Pennant odds over time2021 seasonnpbc.mediaInterleague0%20%40%60%80%100%AprMayJunJulAugOctNovS 100%C 0%D 0%DB 0%G 0%T 0%
Pacific League Pennant odds over time2021 seasonnpbc.mediaInterleague0%20%40%60%80%100%AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovB 100%E 0%F 0%H 0%L 0%M 0%
Pacific League Pennant odds over time2021 seasonnpbc.mediaInterleague0%20%40%60%80%100%AprMayJunJulAugOctNovB 100%E 0%F 0%H 0%L 0%M 0%

Interleague records

Interleague results only (rows in league and official-standings order, not by winning percentage).

Central League

TeamW - L - T
Tokyo Yakult Swallows10 - 8 - 0
Hanshin Tigers11 - 7 - 0
Yomiuri Giants7 - 8 - 3
Hiroshima Toyo Carp3 - 12 - 3
Chunichi Dragons9 - 7 - 2
Yokohama DeNA BayStars9 - 6 - 3

Pacific League

TeamW - L - T
ORIX Buffaloes12 - 5 - 1
Chiba Lotte Marines8 - 9 - 1
Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles9 - 8 - 1
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks5 - 9 - 4
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters7 - 11 - 0
Saitama Seibu Lions7 - 7 - 4

Season rules and notes

  • Rows follow the official final standings (not necessarily in order of winning percentage).
  • Beyond the league schedule, "オールスター" (All-Star Series) was held this season (2 games, 2021-07-16 to 2021-07-17). The standings and charts on this page cover the league schedule only.
  • Beyond the league schedule, "CS ファーストS" (Climax Series First Stage) was held this season (4 games, 2021-11-06 to 2021-11-07). The standings and charts on this page cover the league schedule only.
  • Beyond the league schedule, "CS ファイナルS" (Climax Series Final Stage) was held this season (6 games, 2021-11-10 to 2021-11-12). The standings and charts on this page cover the league schedule only.
  • Beyond the league schedule, "日本シリーズ" (Japan Series) was held this season (6 games, 2021-11-20 to 2021-11-27). The standings and charts on this page cover the league schedule only.

This page is reference material. Where it differs from the official records, the official records take precedence.