ORIX No. 4 - Standings Forecast & Analysis

Data as of
  • ✓Hanshin 0 - 4 Yakult

The one game today is included as provisional results (official figures update the next morning)

Pacific League

Rank #4
W - L (T) 65 - 76 (2)
PCT .461

end of Oct 8, 2026 / npbc.media

As of the end of Oct 8, 2026, ORIX (Buffaloes) stand in the Pacific League at No. 4 with a record of 65 - 76 (2) (winning percentage .461). We estimate their pennant odds at 0% and their Climax Series odds at 0%.

The odds ladder: pennant to championship

Pennant odds 0% Eliminated from the pennant race
Climax Series odds 0% Eliminated from Climax Series contention
Japan Series odds 0%
Championship odds 0%

Pennant and CS odds cover the regular-season finish, while Japan Series and championship odds extend into the postseason. A club that misses the pennant can still win it all through the CS, so its championship odds can exceed its pennant odds. A displayed 100% does not mean mathematical certainty, nor does 0% mean elimination.

League-wide view: Pennant odds / CS berth odds / Climax Series survival odds / Championship odds

See nextORIX pitchersEORIX pitchersORIX battersCORIX battersHighest-rated battersORIX 紅林 弘太郎A 宗 佑磨BHighest-rated battersORIX draft picksPicks from the last five drafts and their first-team rating

ORIX: standings forecast

Projected finish #4
Range #4-#4
Top-3 odds 0%
Last-place odds 0%
Proj. W-L 65 - 76 (2)
Chance of each finish #1 0% / #2 0% / #3 0% / #4 100% / #5 0% / #6 0%

League-wide forecast: Pacific League standings forecast

Team strength (Elo)

Rating 1489.8 (No. 7 of the 12 clubs)
Last 30 days ↓−5.3
vs last week ↓−1.5
Best year ('06-'25) '23 (Elo 1550.0)
Worst year ('06-'25) '07 (Elo 1453.2)

The 'Last 30 days' and 'vs last week' columns show the change from the value 30 and 7 days earlier (as of the end of that day). When the season does not yet cover a window, or there were no games in the period, the cell shows '—'.

League-wide view: Elo ratings (team strength)

Pitching, batting, defense and baserunning

ORIX are losing ground with Pitching and Defense. The club is a little below average in Baserunning, level with the average in Batting.

Pitching −12.0 wins against the league average

Key playersエスピノーザ九里 亜蓮マチャド椋木 蓮ジェリー

SoftBank +10.4 wins Nippon-Ham +2.2 wins Lotte −6.8 wins Rakuten −2.6 wins Seibu +8.7 wins ORIX −12.0 wins −20 +20
SoftBank +10.4 wins Nippon-Ham +2.2 wins Lotte −6.8 wins Rakuten −2.6 wins Seibu +8.7 wins ORIX −12.0 wins −20 +20

Batting −0.8 wins against the league average

Key players紅林 弘太郎太田 椋西川 龍馬宗 佑磨来田 涼斗

SoftBank +5.6 wins Nippon-Ham +2.3 wins Lotte −1.9 wins Rakuten −3.3 wins Seibu −2.0 wins ORIX −0.8 wins −10 +10
SoftBank +5.6 wins Nippon-Ham +2.3 wins Lotte −1.9 wins Rakuten −3.3 wins Seibu −2.0 wins ORIX −0.8 wins −10 +10

Defense −4.6 wins against the league average

Key players紅林 弘太郎若月 健矢福永 奨宗 佑磨野口 智哉

SoftBank +2.5 wins Nippon-Ham −0.1 wins Lotte +2.5 wins Rakuten −3.7 wins Seibu +3.5 wins ORIX −4.6 wins −5 +5
SoftBank +2.5 wins Nippon-Ham −0.1 wins Lotte +2.5 wins Rakuten −3.7 wins Seibu +3.5 wins ORIX −4.6 wins −5 +5

Baserunning −7.5 runs against the league average

Key players渡部 遼人中川 圭太宗 佑磨シーモア麦谷 祐介

SoftBank +8.9 runs Nippon-Ham +3.6 runs Lotte +1.8 runs Rakuten −9.7 runs Seibu +2.9 runs ORIX −7.5 runs −10 +10
SoftBank +8.9 runs Nippon-Ham +3.6 runs Lotte +1.8 runs Rakuten −9.7 runs Seibu +2.9 runs ORIX −7.5 runs −10 +10

Dots are this league's six clubs in club colors; the large dot is this club and the center line is the league average.

Each of the four figures says how many wins pitching, batting, defense and baserunning are worth against the average of the same league.

Breakdown of the key players' numbers

Batting overall C (No. 5 of the 12 clubs)

  • Contact C+(No. 4 of the 12 clubs)
  • Power C(No. 5 of the 12 clubs)
  • Discipline C(No. 6 of the 12 clubs)
  • Baserunning D−(No. 8 of the 12 clubs)

Pitching overall E (No. 11 of the 12 clubs)

  • Prevention E(No. 11 of the 12 clubs)
  • Strikeouts E−(No. 11 of the 12 clubs)
  • Control C−(No. 7 of the 12 clubs)
  • Durability D−(No. 9 of the 12 clubs)

Club strength breakdown

Strength by position

The season so far

ORIX Games over .500 end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media −10 −5 ±0 +5 +10 Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct B −11

Scroll right to see the full chart

ORIX Games over .500 end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media −10 −5 ±0 +5 +10 Apr Jun Aug Oct B −11
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Last 10: 4 - 6

Recent form (last 10 games)

  • Run differential−18Last 10
  • 5-game losing streak
ORIX Runs scored and allowed in the last 10 games end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media 5 5 10 10 15 15 Avg 3.38 Avg 4.23 7 4 9 6 3 5 6 4 1 0 0 9 0 2 5 12 1 2 0 6 ○ ○ ● ○ ○ ● ● ● ● ● Sep 19 Sep 20 Sep 21 Sep 22 Sep 23 Sep 25 Sep 26 Sep 27 Sep 29 Oct 3

Scroll right to see the full chart

ORIX Runs scored and allowed in the last 10 games end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media 5 5 10 10 15 15 3.38 4.23 ○ ○ ● ○ ○ ● ● ● ● ● Sep 23 Oct 3
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  • Runs per game ↓−0.18 Season3.38(No. 8 of the 12 clubs) Last 103.20
  • Runs allowed per game ↑+0.77 Season4.23(No. 12 of the 12 clubs) Last 105.00
  • Batting average ↓−.038 Season.241(No. 6 of the 12 clubs) Last 10.203
  • Home runs per game ↑+0.43 Season0.67(No. 10 of the 12 clubs) Last 101.10
  • Stolen bases per game ↑+0.31 Season0.29(No. 12 of the 12 clubs) Last 100.60
  • ERA ↑+0.75 Season3.96(No. 12 of the 12 clubs) Last 104.71

Shows how much better or worse the last 10 games have been than the season average.

Batting average, home runs, stolen bases and ERA are as of Oct 7, 2026.

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Games in Oct and Nov

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Pacific League ORIX - Games in Oct and Nov
Date Opponent Ballpark Result /
Start
Sat, Oct 3 E Raku­ten ● 0-6

○ = win, ● = loss, △ = tie. A venue other than this club's home (Kyocera Dome) normally means an away game, and games played away from the host club's regular park carry a Home / Away tag. Scores list this club's runs first, and games still to be played show the scheduled start time.

This season's games are over.

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Win-loss calendar

Championship odds across the last 10 games

Even by winning every remaining game, ORIX cannot reach the winning percentage another club would finish with by losing all of theirs, so the pennant is out of reach.

ORIX championship odds

Over the last 10 games: 0% → 0%. The pennant is out of reach.

end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media 0 50 100 Championship odds (%) 0% 0% Sep 19 Now

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end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media 0 50 100 Championship odds (%) 0% 0% Sep 19 Now

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ORIX - recent games and championship odds
Date Opponent Result Championship odds
(after the game)		 Change
Sat, Sep 19 FES CON ○ 7-4 0% ±0.0 pt
Sun, Sep 20 FES CON ○ 9-6 0% ±0.0 pt
Mon, Sep 21 FES CON ● 3-5 0% ±0.0 pt
Tue, Sep 22 MZOZO ○ 6-4 0% ±0.0 pt
Wed, Sep 23 MZOZO ○ 1-0 0% ±0.0 pt
Fri, Sep 25 HKyo­cera ● 0-9 0% ±0.0 pt
Sat, Sep 26 FKyo­cera ● 0-2 0% ±0.0 pt
Sun, Sep 27 HPayPay ● 5-12 0% ±0.0 pt
Tue, Sep 29 LBel­luna ● 1-2 0% ±0.0 pt
Sat, Oct 3 ERaku­ten ● 0-6 0% ±0.0 pt

Change = the difference of a value that reflects every game played on that date, including the results of the other clubs.

The line under the opponent is the venue as listed in the official NPB schedule. A park other than the club's home (Kyocera Dome) normally means an away game; games played away from the host club's regular park carry a Home / Away tag.

League-wide view: Pennant odds

League pennants (2006-2025)

Pennants in this window: 3

Age profile

Throws right Throws left Catchers Infielders Outfielders (Development players) Holding a top-team place Players from outside Japan

PitchersAgePosition players
平野 佳寿42
41
40
39
38
岩嵜 翔37
36西野 真弘
九里 亜蓮山田 修義35杉本 裕太郎
阿部 翔太34
Ａ．マチャドＬ．ペルドモ33大城 滉二
32西川 龍馬
山岡 泰輔31石川 亮森 友哉若月 健矢
田嶋 大樹30頓宮 裕真中川 圭太宗 佑磨(香月 一也)
博志Ｓ．ジェリー横山 楓富山 凌雅29廣岡 大志平沼 翔太
Ａ．エスピノーザ山﨑 颯一郎(小木田 敦也)(宇田川 優希)28Ｂ．シーモア
古田島 成龍本田 仁海髙島 泰都東 晃平27福永 奨野口 智哉(大里 昂生)渡部 遼人
椋木 蓮権田 琉成東山 玲士入山 海斗才木 海翔(芦田 丈飛)曽谷 龍平26山中 稜真(田島 光祐)(村上 喬一朗)宜保 翔(河野 聡太)杉澤 龍
吉田 輝星(前 佑囲斗)佐藤 一磨宮城 大弥25太田 椋
川瀬 堅斗山下 舜平大片山 楽生寺西 成騎24紅林 弘太郎麦谷 祐介来田 涼斗(元 謙太)
髙谷 舟(マシュー)(渡邉 一生)23(清水 武蔵)池田 陵真(寺本 聖一)(三方 陽登)
齋藤 響介22内藤 鵬
宮國 凌空(河内 康介)東松 快征(寿賀 弘都)21堀 柊那横山 聖哉
陳 睦衡山口 廉王(乾 健斗)20(今坂 幸暉)
森 陽樹藤川 敦也(上原 堆我)佐藤 龍月19野上 士耀(中西 創大)窪田 洋祐

Every age on this page is the age for this season. Whether the birthday has already come round is not taken into account.

See the age profile of all 12 clubs

What to reinforce in the draft

ORIX's draft needs, in order: a left-handed pitcher ready now, a right-handed hitter ready now and a right-handed hitter for the future.

Priority Right arm Left arm Catcher Infield Outfield RH hitter LH hitter
Ready now D A+ C− B− A− A+ D+
Future E− A− B B B A+ C
Priority Pitching Hitting Defense Baserunning
Skills A+ B− A+ A

See the draft priorities of all 12 clubs

Club facts

League Pacific League
Home ballpark Kyocera Dome Osaka (Osaka) (as of the '26 season)

Back to the all-clubs index

The estimated figures are worked out by this site and are not official announcements.

Reading the four odds figures

Pennant odds are the club's chance of finishing first in its league, worked out from how its remaining games are likely to go. CS odds are the chance of a top-three finish, Japan Series odds the chance of then surviving the Climax Series, and championship odds the chance of winning the Japan Series itself - the four figures narrow in that order. All of them are estimates that move with the season, not definitive calls.

The defensive detail is on Pacific League fielding, and the draft picks on ORIX draft picks.

Reading the Elo strength and the season trajectory

Team strength (Elo) is a strength measure that weighs the opponent's strength; 1500 is the average.

The season trajectory plots games above .500 (wins minus losses), tracing the ups and downs of the season, and the last-10 strip shows current form. League-wide views live on the team strength ratings page and the net-wins chart page.

About the pennant years and the club facts

The pennant years are based on each season's final standings. The list is limited to the recent seasons stated explicitly in the heading - a shorter span than the full pennant race archive, where earlier years can be traced. Only titles belonging to the lineage of today's twelve clubs (predecessor clubs included) are counted; titles of clubs with no present-day successor are excluded. The club facts list permanent information only, each with the date it was recorded.

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