Nippon-Ham Pennant Odds & Analysis (2026)

Pacific League

Rank #3
W - L (T) 78 - 62 (3)
PCT .557

end of Oct 8, 2026 / npbc.media

As of the end of Oct 8, 2026, Nippon-Ham (Fighters) stand in the Pacific League at No. 3 with a record of 78 - 62 (3) (winning percentage .557). We estimate their pennant odds at 0% and their Climax Series odds at 100%.

The odds ladder: pennant to championship

Pennant odds 0% Eliminated from the pennant race
Climax Series odds 100%
Japan Series odds 3.4%
Championship odds 1.6%

Pennant and CS odds cover the regular-season finish, while Japan Series and championship odds extend into the postseason. A club that misses the pennant can still win it all through the CS, so its championship odds can exceed its pennant odds. A displayed 100% does not mean mathematical certainty, nor does 0% mean elimination.

Nippon-Ham: standings forecast

Projected finish #3
Range #3-#3
Top-3 odds 100%
Last-place odds 0%
Proj. W-L 78 - 62 (3)
Chance of each finish #1 0% / #2 0% / #3 100% / #4 0% / #5 0% / #6 0%

Team strength (Elo)

Rating 1532.9 (No. 2 of the 12 clubs)
Last 30 days ↓−3.9
vs last week 0.0
Best year ('06-'25) '16 (Elo 1550.4)
Worst year ('06-'25) '23 (Elo 1465.0)

The 'Last 30 days' and 'vs last week' columns show the change from the value 30 and 7 days earlier (as of the end of that day). When the season does not yet cover a window, or there were no games in the period, the cell shows '—'.

Pitching, batting, defense and baserunning

Nippon-Ham sit close to the league average in pitching, batting, defense and baserunning alike.

Pitching +2.2 wins against the league average

Key players北山 亘基伊藤 大海達 孝太加藤 貴之柳川 大晟

SoftBank +10.4 wins Lotte −6.8 wins Rakuten −2.6 wins Seibu +8.7 wins ORIX −12.0 wins Nippon-Ham +2.2 wins −20 +20
SoftBank +10.4 wins Lotte −6.8 wins Rakuten −2.6 wins Seibu +8.7 wins ORIX −12.0 wins Nippon-Ham +2.2 wins −20 +20

Batting +2.3 wins against the league average

Key playersレイエス水野 達稀清宮 幸太郎万波 中正野村 佑希

SoftBank +5.6 wins Lotte −1.9 wins Rakuten −3.3 wins Seibu −2.0 wins ORIX −0.8 wins Nippon-Ham +2.3 wins −10 +10
SoftBank +5.6 wins Lotte −1.9 wins Rakuten −3.3 wins Seibu −2.0 wins ORIX −0.8 wins Nippon-Ham +2.3 wins −10 +10

Defense Level with the league average

Key players田宮 裕涼進藤 勇也水野 達稀清水 優心奈良間 大己

SoftBank +2.5 wins Lotte +2.5 wins Rakuten −3.7 wins Seibu +3.5 wins ORIX −4.6 wins Nippon-Ham −0.1 wins −5 +5
SoftBank +2.5 wins Lotte +2.5 wins Rakuten −3.7 wins Seibu +3.5 wins ORIX −4.6 wins Nippon-Ham −0.1 wins −5 +5

Baserunning +3.6 runs against the league average

Key players水野 達稀清宮 幸太郎細川 凌平五十幡 亮汰大塚 瑠晏

SoftBank +8.9 runs Lotte +1.8 runs Rakuten −9.7 runs Seibu +2.9 runs ORIX −7.5 runs Nippon-Ham +3.6 runs −10 +10
SoftBank +8.9 runs Lotte +1.8 runs Rakuten −9.7 runs Seibu +2.9 runs ORIX −7.5 runs Nippon-Ham +3.6 runs −10 +10

Dots are this league's six clubs in club colors; the large dot is this club and the center line is the league average.

Each of the four figures says how many wins pitching, batting, defense and baserunning are worth against the average of the same league.

Breakdown of the key players' numbers

Batting overall B− (No. 3 of the 12 clubs)

  • Contact C−(No. 6 of the 12 clubs)
  • Power S+(No. 1 of the 12 clubs)
  • Discipline E+(No. 10 of the 12 clubs)
  • Baserunning C(No. 6 of the 12 clubs)

Pitching overall B− (No. 3 of the 12 clubs)

  • Prevention D+(No. 7 of the 12 clubs)
  • Strikeouts D+(No. 8 of the 12 clubs)
  • Control A−(No. 2 of the 12 clubs)
  • Durability B+(No. 3 of the 12 clubs)

The season so far

Nippon-Ham Games over .500 end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media ±0 +10 +20 Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct F +16

Scroll right to see the full chart

Nippon-Ham Games over .500 end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media ±0 +10 +20 Apr Jun Aug Oct F +16
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Last 10: 5 - 5

Recent form (last 10 games)

  • Run differential−7Last 10
  • 2-game winning streak
Nippon-Ham Runs scored and allowed in the last 10 games end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media 5 5 10 10 Avg 4.13 Avg 3.70 4 7 6 9 5 3 6 5 3 5 0 6 2 0 1 6 8 3 3 1 ● ● ○ ○ ● ● ○ ● ○ ○ Sep 19 Sep 20 Sep 21 Sep 22 Sep 23 Sep 24 Sep 26 Sep 27 Sep 28 Oct 1

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Nippon-Ham Runs scored and allowed in the last 10 games end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media 5 5 10 10 4.13 3.70 ● ● ○ ○ ● ● ○ ● ○ ○ Sep 23 Oct 1
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  • Runs per game ↓−0.33 Season4.13(No. 2 of the 12 clubs) Last 103.80
  • Runs allowed per game ↑+0.80 Season3.70(No. 8 of the 12 clubs) Last 104.50
  • Batting average ↓−.027 Season.248(No. 2 of the 12 clubs) Last 10.221
  • Home runs per game ↓−0.04 Season1.24(No. 1 of the 12 clubs) Last 101.20
  • Stolen bases per game ↓−0.12 Season0.52(No. 4 of the 12 clubs) Last 100.40
  • ERA ↑+0.72 Season3.38(No. 7 of the 12 clubs) Last 104.11

Shows how much better or worse the last 10 games have been than the season average.

Batting average, home runs, stolen bases and ERA are as of Oct 7, 2026.

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Games in Oct and Nov

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Pacific League Nippon-Ham - Games in Oct and Nov
Date Opponent Ballpark Result /
Start
Thu, Oct 1 M ZOZO ○ 3-1
Sat, Oct 10 L Bel­luna 14:00
Sun, Oct 11 L Bel­luna 14:00
Mon (hol), Oct 12 L Bel­luna 14:00

○ = win, ● = loss, △ = tie. A venue other than this club's home (ES CON Field) normally means an away game, and games played away from the host club's regular park carry a Home / Away tag. Scores list this club's runs first, and games still to be played show the scheduled start time.

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Championship odds across the last 10 games

Even by winning every remaining game, Nippon-Ham cannot reach the winning percentage another club would finish with by losing all of theirs, so the pennant is out of reach.

Nippon-Ham championship odds

Over the last 10 games: 0% → 0%. The pennant is out of reach.

end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media 0 50 100 Championship odds (%) 0% 0% Sep 19 Now

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end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media 0 50 100 Championship odds (%) 0% 0% Sep 19 Now

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Nippon-Ham - recent games and championship odds
Date Opponent Result Championship odds
(after the game)
Change
Sat, Sep 19 BES CON ● 4-7 0% ±0.0 pt
Sun, Sep 20 BES CON ● 6-9 0% ±0.0 pt
Mon, Sep 21 BES CON ○ 5-3 0% ±0.0 pt
Tue, Sep 22 EES CON ○ 6-5 0% ±0.0 pt
Wed, Sep 23 EES CON ● 3-5 0% ±0.0 pt
Thu, Sep 24 EES CON ● 0-6 0% ±0.0 pt
Sat, Sep 26 BKyo­cera ○ 2-0 0% ±0.0 pt
Sun, Sep 27 MZOZO ● 1-6 0% ±0.0 pt
Mon, Sep 28 MZOZO ○ 8-3 0% ±0.0 pt
Thu, Oct 1 MZOZO ○ 3-1 0% ±0.0 pt

Change = the difference of a value that reflects every game played on that date, including the results of the other clubs.

The line under the opponent is the venue as listed in the official NPB schedule. A park other than the club's home (ES CON Field) normally means an away game; games played away from the host club's regular park carry a Home / Away tag.

League pennants (2006-2025)

Pennants in this window: 5

Age profile

Throws right Throws left Catchers Infielders Outfielders (Development players) Holding a top-team place Players from outside Japan

PitchersAgePosition players
宮西 尚生41
40
39
38
37
36
福谷 浩司35中島 卓也
玉井 大翔有原 航平加藤 貴之山﨑 福也34西川 遥輝
島本 浩也33
田中 正義池田 隆英上原 健太32
齋藤 友貴哉生田目 翼31F.レイエス
(福田 俊)30清水 優心A.マルティネス淺間 大基
伊藤 大海29L.リン郡司 裕也上川畑 大悟今川 優馬
堀 瑞輝河野 竜生28梅林 優貴五十幡 亮汰
北山 亘基菊地 大稀S.ラオ27R.カストロ清宮 幸太郎(山口 アタル)
山本 拓実清宮 虎多朗古林 睿煬金村 尚真松岡 洸希矢澤 宏太26田宮 裕涼奈良間 大己野村 佑希水野 達稀万波 中正
25吉田 賢吾水谷 瞬宮崎 一樹
山城 航太郎浅利 太門(松本 遼大)細野 晴希24進藤 勇也細川 凌平山縣 秀
福島 蓮畔柳 亨丞柳川 大晟大川 慈英(横山 永遠)(根本 悠楓)23有薗 直輝阪口 樂大塚 瑠晏エドポロ ケイン
達 孝太(安西 叶翔)22(日渡 騰輝)常谷 拓輝(藤田 大清)
孫 易磊21明瀬 諒介(濵田 泰希)(星野 ひので)
柴田 獅子清水 大暉藤田 琉生(加藤 大和)(澁谷 純希)20
(川勝 空人)19藤森 海斗半田 南十

Every age on this page is the age for this season. Whether the birthday has already come round is not taken into account.

What to reinforce in the draft

Nippon-Ham's draft needs, in order: a left-handed hitter for the future, a left-handed pitcher for the future and a left-handed hitter ready now.

Priority Right arm Left arm Catcher Infield Outfield RH hitter LH hitter
Ready now D+ B− F E− D+ F B−
Future D B F C− E− F A+
Priority Pitching Hitting Defense Baserunning
Skills C D+ B− D+

Club facts

League Pacific League
Home ballpark ES CON Field Hokkaido (Kitahiroshima, Hokkaido) (as of the '26 season)

The estimated figures are worked out by this site and are not official announcements.

Reading the four odds figures

Pennant odds are the club's chance of finishing first in its league, worked out from how its remaining games are likely to go. CS odds are the chance of a top-three finish, Japan Series odds the chance of then surviving the Climax Series, and championship odds the chance of winning the Japan Series itself - the four figures narrow in that order. All of them are estimates that move with the season, not definitive calls.

The defensive detail is on Pacific League fielding, and the draft picks on Nippon-Ham draft picks.

Reading the Elo strength and the season trajectory

Team strength (Elo) is a strength measure that weighs the opponent's strength; 1500 is the average.

The season trajectory plots games above .500 (wins minus losses), tracing the ups and downs of the season, and the last-10 strip shows current form. League-wide views live on the team strength ratings page and the net-wins chart page.

About the pennant years and the club facts

The pennant years are based on each season's final standings. The list is limited to the recent seasons stated explicitly in the heading - a shorter span than the full pennant race archive, where earlier years can be traced. Only titles belonging to the lineage of today's twelve clubs (predecessor clubs included) are counted; titles of clubs with no present-day successor are excluded. The club facts list permanent information only, each with the date it was recorded.

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