The 2016 Pennant Race

Central League

Champion Hiroshima Toyo Carp

Pacific League

Champion Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters

A season archive covering the standings and game results. Rows follow the official final standings.

Final standings (official)

Central League

Scroll right for more

RankTeamGWLTPCTGB
1Hiroshima Toyo Carp Champion14389522.631
2Yomiuri Giants14371693.50717.5
3Yokohama DeNA BayStars14369713.49319.5
4Hanshin Tigers14364763.45724.5
5Tokyo Yakult Swallows14364781.45125.5
6Chunichi Dragons14358823.41430.5

Pacific League

Scroll right for more

RankTeamGWLTPCTGB
1Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters Champion14387533.621
2Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks14383546.6062.5
3Chiba Lotte Marines14372683.51415.0
4Saitama Seibu Lions14364763.45723.0
5Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles14362783.44325.0
6ORIX Buffaloes14357833.40730.0

Season highlights

Central League Longest win streak: Hiroshima Toyo Carp, 11 in a row Best games over .500 (in-season peak): Hiroshima Toyo Carp at +38 Days in first place: Hiroshima Toyo Carp (121 days)

At the end of August, eventual champion Hiroshima Toyo Carp stood at 100% in this model.

Eventual champion Hiroshima Toyo Carp bottomed out at 8.9% in this model (as of Mar 25, 2016).

Pacific League Longest win streak: Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters, 15 in a row Best games over .500 (in-season peak): Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters at +34 Days in first place: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (125 days)

At the end of August, eventual champion Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters stood at 36.9% in this model.

Eventual champion Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters bottomed out at 0.1% in this model (as of Jun 18, 2016).

Days in first place are counted per day with games played.

Games over .500

Balance = wins minus losses. The horizontal zero line is the .500 mark. The ▼ marks along the top of the plot show the days the lead changed hands, colored for the new leader.

Central League Games over .5002016 seasonnpbc.mediaInterleague−20±0+20+40AprMayJunJulAugSepOctC +37G +2DB −2T −12S −14D −24C best balance +38TGCGCGGCGCGC
Central League Games over .5002016 seasonnpbc.mediaInterleague−20±0+20+40AprMayJunJulAugSepOctC +37G +2DB −2T −12S −14D −24C best balance +38TGCGCGC
Pacific League Games over .5002016 seasonnpbc.mediaInterleague−20±0+20AprMayJunJulAugSepOctF +34H +29M +4L −12E −16B −26F best balance +34ELMHFHFHF
Pacific League Games over .5002016 seasonnpbc.mediaInterleague−20±0+20AprMayJunJulAugSepOctF +34H +29M +4L −12E −16B −26F best balance +34ELHFHFHF

Standings over time

Daily standings ordered by winning percentage (wins over decisions) at the end of each day. Teams tied on percentage share the same rank, so lines can overlap. Official tiebreakers such as head-to-head records are not applied to the daily series.

Central League Standings over time2016 seasonnpbc.media123456AprMayJunJulAugSepOctC #1G #2DB #3T #4S #5D #6
Central League Standings over time2016 seasonnpbc.media123456AprMayJunJulAugSepOctC #1G #2DB #3T #4S #5D #6
Pacific League Standings over time2016 seasonnpbc.media123456AprMayJunJulAugSepOctF #1H #2M #3L #4E #5B #6
Pacific League Standings over time2016 seasonnpbc.media123456AprMayJunJulAugSepOctF #1H #2M #3L #4E #5B #6

Win-loss calendar

A tall dark cell is a win, a short light cell a loss, and a thin line a tie - the heights keep the chart readable even without color. Doubleheaders split the day's cell vertically.

Scroll right for more

Central League Win-loss calendar2016 seasonnpbc.mediaWinLossTieHiroshima Toyo Carp89 - 52 - 2Yomiuri Giants71 - 69 - 3Yokohama DeNA BayStars69 - 71 - 3Hanshin Tigers64 - 76 - 3Tokyo Yakult Swallows64 - 78 - 1Chunichi Dragons58 - 82 - 3AprMayJunJulAugSepOct

Scroll right for more

Pacific League Win-loss calendar2016 seasonnpbc.mediaWinLossTieHokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters87 - 53 - 3Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks83 - 54 - 6Chiba Lotte Marines72 - 68 - 3Saitama Seibu Lions64 - 76 - 3Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles62 - 78 - 3ORIX Buffaloes57 - 83 - 3AprMayJunJulAugSepOct

Pennant odds over time

Estimates from re-running the current board's model on each day's data. Probabilities do not guarantee outcomes.

Central League Pennant odds over time2016 seasonnpbc.mediaInterleague0%20%40%60%80%100%AprMayJunJulAugSepOctC 100%D 0%DB 0%G 0%S 0%T 0%
Central League Pennant odds over time2016 seasonnpbc.mediaInterleague0%20%40%60%80%100%AprMayJunJulAugSepOctC 100%D 0%DB 0%G 0%S 0%T 0%
Pacific League Pennant odds over time2016 seasonnpbc.mediaInterleague0%20%40%60%80%100%AprMayJunJulAugSepOctF 100%B 0%E 0%H 0%L 0%M 0%
Pacific League Pennant odds over time2016 seasonnpbc.mediaInterleague0%20%40%60%80%100%AprMayJunJulAugSepOctF 100%B 0%E 0%H 0%L 0%M 0%

Interleague records

Interleague results only (rows in league and official-standings order, not by winning percentage).

Central League

TeamW - L - T
Hiroshima Toyo Carp11 - 6 - 1
Yomiuri Giants9 - 9 - 0
Yokohama DeNA BayStars7 - 11 - 0
Hanshin Tigers7 - 11 - 0
Tokyo Yakult Swallows6 - 12 - 0
Chunichi Dragons7 - 11 - 0

Pacific League

TeamW - L - T
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters10 - 8 - 0
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks13 - 4 - 1
Chiba Lotte Marines12 - 6 - 0
Saitama Seibu Lions9 - 9 - 0
Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles11 - 7 - 0
ORIX Buffaloes5 - 13 - 0

Season rules and notes

  • Rows follow the official final standings (not necessarily in order of winning percentage).
  • Beyond the league schedule, "オールスター" (All-Star Series) was held this season (2 games, 2016-07-15 to 2016-07-16). The standings and charts on this page cover the league schedule only.
  • Beyond the league schedule, "CS ファーストS" (Climax Series First Stage) was held this season (5 games, 2016-10-08 to 2016-10-10). The standings and charts on this page cover the league schedule only.
  • Beyond the league schedule, "CS ファイナルS" (Climax Series Final Stage) was held this season (9 games, 2016-10-12 to 2016-10-16). The standings and charts on this page cover the league schedule only.
  • Beyond the league schedule, "日本シリーズ" (Japan Series) was held this season (6 games, 2016-10-22 to 2016-10-29). The standings and charts on this page cover the league schedule only.

This page is reference material. Where it differs from the official records, the official records take precedence.