Yakult No. 5 - Standings Forecast & Analysis

Central League

Rank #5
W - L (T) 61 - 80 (2)
PCT .433

end of Oct 8, 2026 / npbc.media

As of the end of Oct 8, 2026, Yakult (Swallows) stand in the Central League at No. 5 with a record of 61 - 80 (2) (winning percentage .433). We estimate their pennant odds at 0% and their Climax Series odds at 0%.

The odds ladder: pennant to championship

Pennant odds 0% Eliminated from the pennant race
Climax Series odds 0% Eliminated from Climax Series contention
Japan Series odds 0%
Championship odds 0%

Pennant and CS odds cover the regular-season finish, while Japan Series and championship odds extend into the postseason. A club that misses the pennant can still win it all through the CS, so its championship odds can exceed its pennant odds. A displayed 100% does not mean mathematical certainty, nor does 0% mean elimination.

Yakult: standings forecast

Projected finish #5
Range #5-#5
Top-3 odds 0%
Last-place odds 0%
Proj. W-L 61 - 80 (2)
Chance of each finish #1 0% / #2 0% / #3 0% / #4 0% / #5 100% / #6 0%

Team strength (Elo)

Rating 1459.3 (No. 12 of the 12 clubs)
Last 30 days ↓−6.4
vs last week ↑+0.4
Best year ('06-'25) '22 (Elo 1539.1)
Worst year ('06-'25) '17 (Elo 1432.2)

The 'Last 30 days' and 'vs last week' columns show the change from the value 30 and 7 days earlier (as of the end of that day). When the season does not yet cover a window, or there were no games in the period, the cell shows '—'.

Pitching, batting, defense and baserunning

Yakult are losing ground with Pitching and Batting. The club is level with the average in Defense and Baserunning.

Pitching −5.2 wins against the league average

Key players山野 太一奥川 恭伸高梨 裕稔リランソ星 知弥

Yomiuri +6.2 wins Hanshin +3.1 wins DeNA −0.8 wins Hiroshima −3.2 wins Chunichi −0.2 wins Yakult −5.2 wins −10 +10
Yomiuri +6.2 wins Hanshin +3.1 wins DeNA −0.8 wins Hiroshima −3.2 wins Chunichi −0.2 wins Yakult −5.2 wins −10 +10

Batting −5.6 wins against the league average

Key playersサンタナ増田 珠長岡 秀樹赤羽 由紘岩田 幸宏

Yomiuri −0.3 wins Hanshin +8.0 wins DeNA +1.9 wins Hiroshima −3.9 wins Chunichi −0.1 wins Yakult −5.6 wins −10 +10
Yomiuri −0.3 wins Hanshin +8.0 wins DeNA +1.9 wins Hiroshima −3.9 wins Chunichi −0.1 wins Yakult −5.6 wins −10 +10

Defense Level with the league average

Key players古賀 優大長岡 秀樹武岡 龍世鈴木 叶中村 悠平

Yomiuri +1.9 wins Hanshin +0.3 wins DeNA −1.3 wins Hiroshima −0.3 wins Chunichi −0.9 wins Yakult +0.4 wins −5 +5
Yomiuri +1.9 wins Hanshin +0.3 wins DeNA −1.3 wins Hiroshima −0.3 wins Chunichi −0.9 wins Yakult +0.4 wins −5 +5

Baserunning Level with the league average

Key players岩田 幸宏赤羽 由紘丸山 和郁並木 秀尊松下 歩叶

Yomiuri +1.6 runs Hanshin −4.2 runs DeNA −6.5 runs Hiroshima +9.0 runs Chunichi +0.6 runs Yakult −0.5 runs −10 +10
Yomiuri +1.6 runs Hanshin −4.2 runs DeNA −6.5 runs Hiroshima +9.0 runs Chunichi +0.6 runs Yakult −0.5 runs −10 +10

Dots are this league's six clubs in club colors; the large dot is this club and the center line is the league average.

Each of the four figures says how many wins pitching, batting, defense and baserunning are worth against the average of the same league.

Breakdown of the key players' numbers

Batting overall D+ (No. 10 of the 12 clubs)

  • Contact D+(No. 9 of the 12 clubs)
  • Power G(No. 12 of the 12 clubs)
  • Discipline C(No. 5 of the 12 clubs)
  • Baserunning C+(No. 5 of the 12 clubs)

Pitching overall E+ (No. 10 of the 12 clubs)

  • Prevention D(No. 9 of the 12 clubs)
  • Strikeouts D−(No. 9 of the 12 clubs)
  • Control D(No. 9 of the 12 clubs)
  • Durability D−(No. 10 of the 12 clubs)

The season so far

Yakult Games over .500 end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media −20 −10 ±0 +10 Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct S −19

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Yakult Games over .500 end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media −20 −10 ±0 +10 Apr Jun Aug Oct S −19
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Last 10: 4 - 6

Recent form (last 10 games)

  • Run differential−16Last 10
Yakult Runs scored and allowed in the last 10 games end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media 5 5 10 10 15 15 Avg 3.14 Avg 3.97 7 9 4 8 5 4 5 3 0 11 0 5 5 1 1 3 4 7 4 0 ● ● ○ ○ ● ● ○ ● ● ○ Sep 22 Sep 23 Sep 25 Sep 26 Sep 27 Sep 30 Oct 2 Oct 3 Oct 4 Oct 8 (provisional)

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Yakult Runs scored and allowed in the last 10 games end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media 5 5 10 10 15 15 3.14 3.97 ● ● ○ ○ ● ● ○ ● ● ○ Sep 27 Oct 8 (provisional)
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  • Runs per game ↑+0.36 Season3.14(No. 11 of the 12 clubs) Last 103.50
  • Runs allowed per game ↑+1.13 Season3.97(No. 10 of the 12 clubs) Last 105.10
  • Batting average ↑+.020 Season.236(No. 8 of the 12 clubs) Last 10.256
  • Home runs per game ↑+0.02 Season0.58(No. 12 of the 12 clubs) Last 100.60
  • Stolen bases per game ↓−0.38 Season0.68(No. 2 of the 12 clubs) Last 100.30
  • ERA ↑+1.35 Season3.71(No. 10 of the 12 clubs) Last 105.06

Shows how much better or worse the last 10 games have been than the season average.

Batting average, home runs, stolen bases and ERA are as of Oct 7, 2026.

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Games in Oct and Nov

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Central League Yakult - Games in Oct and Nov
Date Opponent Ballpark Result /
Start
Fri, Oct 2 G Jingu ○ 5-1
Sat, Oct 3 D Jingu ● 1-3
Sun, Oct 4 C Jingu ● 4-7
Thu, Oct 8 T Away ○ 4-0

○ = win, ● = loss, △ = tie. A venue other than this club's home (Jingu) normally means an away game, and games played away from the host club's regular park carry a Home / Away tag. Scores list this club's runs first, and games still to be played show the scheduled start time.

This season's games are over.

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Championship odds across the last 10 games

Even by winning every remaining game, Yakult cannot reach the winning percentage another club would finish with by losing all of theirs, so the pennant is out of reach.

Yakult championship odds

Over the last 10 games: 0% → 0%. The pennant is out of reach.

end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media 0 50 100 Championship odds (%) 0% 0% Sep 22 Now

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end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media 0 50 100 Championship odds (%) 0% 0% Sep 22 Now

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Yakult - recent games and championship odds
Date Opponent Result Championship odds
(after the game)
Change
Tue, Sep 22 TJingu ● 7-9 0% ±0.0 pt
Wed, Sep 23 TJingu ● 4-8 0% ±0.0 pt
Fri, Sep 25 DJingu ○ 5-4 0% ±0.0 pt
Sat, Sep 26 DJingu ○ 5-3 0% ±0.0 pt
Sun, Sep 27 GTokyo D ● 0-11 0% ±0.0 pt
Wed, Sep 30 TKo­shien ● 0-5 0% ±0.0 pt
Fri, Oct 2 GJingu ○ 5-1 0% ±0.0 pt
Sat, Oct 3 DJingu ● 1-3 0% ±0.0 pt
Sun, Oct 4 CJingu ● 4-7 0% ±0.0 pt
Thu, Oct 8 TAway ○ 4-0 (provisional) 0% ±0.0 pt

Change = the difference of a value that reflects every game played on that date, including the results of the other clubs.

The line under the opponent is the venue as listed in the official NPB schedule. A park other than the club's home (Jingu) normally means an away game; games played away from the host club's regular park carry a Home / Away tag.

League pennants (2006-2025)

Pennants in this window: 3

Age profile

Throws right Throws left Catchers Infielders Outfielders (Development players) Holding a top-team place Players from outside Japan

PitchersAgePosition players
石川 雅規46
45
44
43
42
41
40
39
石山 泰稚38
37
小川 泰弘36中村 悠平
高梨 裕稔35
34山田 哲人J.オスナD.サンタナ
青柳 晃洋33柿沼 友哉松本 直樹塩見 泰隆
星 知弥拓也32茂木 栄五郎山野辺 翔
J.リランソ田口 麗斗J.キハダ31宮本 丈
清水 昇30
N.ウォルターズ大西 広樹高橋 奎二29岩田 幸宏
吉村 貢司郎小澤 怜史木澤 尚文丸山 翔大長谷川 宙輝28古賀 優大L.セデーニョ
大道 温貴松本 健吾飯田 琉斗阪口 皓亮山野 太一27並木 秀尊増田 珠丸山 和郁
下川 隼佑沼田 翔平荘司 宏太増居 翔太(佐藤 琢磨)26橋本 星哉赤羽 由紘北村 恵吾(根岸 辰昇)モンテル澤井 廉
奥川 恭伸廣澤 優西舘 昂汰石原 勇輝25武岡 龍世長岡 秀樹(遠藤 成)
(西濱 勇星)24矢野 泰二郎(中川 拓真)石井 巧内山 壮真伊藤 琉偉(澤野 聖悠)
中村 優斗山崎 太陽(竹山 日向)23松下 歩叶
坂本 拓己22松川 玲央西村 瑠伊斗
(翔聖)21(松本 龍之介)(髙野 颯太)
20鈴木 叶田中 陽翔モイセエフ ニキータ
鈴木 蓮吾(小宮 悠瞳)19

Every age on this page is the age for this season. Whether the birthday has already come round is not taken into account.

What to reinforce in the draft

Yakult's draft needs, in order: a right-handed pitcher for the future, an infielder ready now and an outfielder for the future.

Priority Right arm Left arm Catcher Infield Outfield RH hitter LH hitter
Ready now A+ A A− A+ D− C A
Future A+ A+ E E− A+ E− D+
Priority Pitching Hitting Defense Baserunning
Skills A− A+ C B

Club facts

League Central League
Home ballpark Meiji Jingu Stadium (Shinjuku, Tokyo) (as of the '26 season)

The estimated figures are worked out by this site and are not official announcements.

Reading the four odds figures

Pennant odds are the club's chance of finishing first in its league, worked out from how its remaining games are likely to go. CS odds are the chance of a top-three finish, Japan Series odds the chance of then surviving the Climax Series, and championship odds the chance of winning the Japan Series itself - the four figures narrow in that order. All of them are estimates that move with the season, not definitive calls.

The defensive detail is on Central League fielding, and the draft picks on Yakult draft picks.

Reading the Elo strength and the season trajectory

Team strength (Elo) is a strength measure that weighs the opponent's strength; 1500 is the average.

The season trajectory plots games above .500 (wins minus losses), tracing the ups and downs of the season, and the last-10 strip shows current form. League-wide views live on the team strength ratings page and the net-wins chart page.

About the pennant years and the club facts

The pennant years are based on each season's final standings. The list is limited to the recent seasons stated explicitly in the heading - a shorter span than the full pennant race archive, where earlier years can be traced. Only titles belonging to the lineage of today's twelve clubs (predecessor clubs included) are counted; titles of clubs with no present-day successor are excluded. The club facts list permanent information only, each with the date it was recorded.

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