The odds ladder: pennant to championship
| Pennant odds | Eliminated from the pennant race |
|---|---|
| Climax Series odds | Eliminated from Climax Series contention |
| Japan Series odds | |
| Championship odds |
Pennant and CS odds cover the regular-season finish, while Japan Series and championship odds extend into the postseason. A club that misses the pennant can still win it all through the CS, so its championship odds can exceed its pennant odds. A displayed 100% does not mean mathematical certainty, nor does 0% mean elimination.
League-wide view: Pennant odds / CS berth odds / Climax Series survival odds / Championship odds
Rakuten: standings forecast
| Projected finish | #6 |
|---|---|
| Range | #6-#6 |
| Top-3 odds | 0% |
| Last-place odds | 100% |
| Proj. W-L | 58 - 84 (1) |
| Chance of each finish | #1 0% / #2 0% / #3 0% / #4 0% / #5 0% / #6 100% |
League-wide forecast: Pacific League standings forecast
Team strength (Elo)
| Rating | 1473.6 (No. 9 of the 12 clubs) |
|---|---|
| Last 30 days | ↑+7.5 |
| vs last week | ↑+1.9 |
| Best year ('06-'25) | '13 (Elo 1535.3) |
| Worst year ('06-'25) | '06 (Elo 1426.0) |
The 'Last 30 days' and 'vs last week' columns show the change from the value 30 and 7 days earlier (as of the end of that day). When the season does not yet cover a window, or there were no games in the period, the cell shows '—'.
League-wide view: Elo ratings (team strength)
Pitching, batting, defense and baserunning
Rakuten are losing ground with Batting and Defense. The club is a little below average in Pitching and Baserunning.
Dots are this league's six clubs in club colors; the large dot is this club and the center line is the league average.
Each of the four figures says how many wins pitching, batting, defense and baserunning are worth against the average of the same league.
Breakdown of the key players' numbers
Batting overall C+ (No. 4 of the 12 clubs)
- Contact
- Power
- Discipline
- Baserunning
Pitching overall C− (No. 7 of the 12 clubs)
- Prevention
- Strikeouts
- Control
- Durability
The season so far
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Last 10: 5 - 5
Recent form (last 10 games)
- Run differential+4Last 10
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- Runs per game ↓−0.21
- Runs allowed per game ↓−1.18
- Batting average ↓−.027
- Home runs per game ↓−0.22
- Stolen bases per game ↑+0.30
- ERA ↓−0.94
Shows how much better or worse the last 10 games have been than the season average.
Batting average, home runs, stolen bases and ERA are as of Oct 7, 2026.
Games in Oct and Nov
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| Date | Opponent | Ballpark | Result / Start |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Oct 1 | H | Rakuten | ● 2-8 |
| Sat, Oct 3 | B | Rakuten | ○ 6-0 |
| Sun, Oct 4 | M | ZOZO | ● 2-3 |
| Mon, Oct 5 | H | Rakuten | ○ 3-1 |
○ = win, ● = loss, △ = tie. A venue other than this club's home (Rakuten Mobile Park) normally means an away game, and games played away from the host club's regular park carry a Home / Away tag. Scores list this club's runs first, and games still to be played show the scheduled start time.
This season's games are over.
Championship odds across the last 10 games
Even by winning every remaining game, Rakuten cannot reach the winning percentage another club would finish with by losing all of theirs, so the pennant is out of reach.
Rakuten championship odds
Over the last 10 games: 0% → 0%. The pennant is out of reach.
Scroll right to see the full chart
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| Date | Opponent | Result | Championship odds (after the game) |
Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Sep 24 | FES CON | ○ 6-0 | 0% | ±0.0 pt |
| Sat, Sep 26 | HPayPay | ● 0-4 | 0% | ±0.0 pt |
| Sun, Sep 27 | LBelluna | ● 2-3 | 0% | ±0.0 pt |
| Mon, Sep 28 | LBelluna | ○ 4-2 | 0% | ±0.0 pt |
| Tue, Sep 29 | MRakuten | ● 3-6 | 0% | ±0.0 pt |
| Wed, Sep 30 | MRakuten | ○ 3-0 | 0% | ±0.0 pt |
| Thu, Oct 1 | HRakuten | ● 2-8 | 0% | ±0.0 pt |
| Sat, Oct 3 | BRakuten | ○ 6-0 | 0% | ±0.0 pt |
| Sun, Oct 4 | MZOZO | ● 2-3 | 0% | ±0.0 pt |
| Mon, Oct 5 | HRakuten | ○ 3-1 | 0% | ±0.0 pt |
Change = the difference of a value that reflects every game played on that date, including the results of the other clubs.
The line under the opponent is the venue as listed in the official NPB schedule. A park other than the club's home (Rakuten Mobile Park) normally means an away game; games played away from the host club's regular park carry a Home / Away tag.
League-wide view: Pennant odds
League pennants (2006-2025)
Pennants in this window: 1
Age profile
Throws right Throws left Catchers Infielders Outfielders (Development players) Holding a top-team place Players from outside Japan
Every age on this page is the age for this season. Whether the birthday has already come round is not taken into account.
Players not shown because their date of birth or position is not registered: 1.
What to reinforce in the draft
Rakuten's draft needs, in order: a catcher ready now, a left-handed pitcher for the future and a right-handed hitter ready now.
| Priority | Right arm | Left arm | Catcher | Infield | Outfield | RH hitter | LH hitter |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ready now | A− | B+ | A+ | B | D+ | A | D+ |
| Future | B | A+ | A− | C | C+ | B+ | B− |
| Priority | Pitching | Hitting | Defense | Baserunning |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skills | B | A− | A | A+ |
Club facts
| League | Pacific League |
|---|---|
| Home ballpark | Rakuten Mobile Park Miyagi (Sendai, Miyagi) (as of the '26 season) |
The estimated figures are worked out by this site and are not official announcements.
Reading the four odds figures
Pennant odds are the club's chance of finishing first in its league, worked out from how its remaining games are likely to go. CS odds are the chance of a top-three finish, Japan Series odds the chance of then surviving the Climax Series, and championship odds the chance of winning the Japan Series itself - the four figures narrow in that order. All of them are estimates that move with the season, not definitive calls.
The defensive detail is on Pacific League fielding, and the draft picks on Rakuten draft picks.
Reading the Elo strength and the season trajectory
Team strength (Elo) is a strength measure that weighs the opponent's strength; 1500 is the average.
The season trajectory plots games above .500 (wins minus losses), tracing the ups and downs of the season, and the last-10 strip shows current form. League-wide views live on the team strength ratings page and the net-wins chart page.
About the pennant years and the club facts
The pennant years are based on each season's final standings. The list is limited to the recent seasons stated explicitly in the heading - a shorter span than the full pennant race archive, where earlier years can be traced. Only titles belonging to the lineage of today's twelve clubs (predecessor clubs included) are counted; titles of clubs with no present-day successor are excluded. The club facts list permanent information only, each with the date it was recorded.