Chunichi Pennant Odds & Analysis (2026)

Central League

Rank #6
W - L (T) 60 - 81 (2)
PCT .426

end of Oct 8, 2026 / npbc.media

As of the end of Oct 8, 2026, Chunichi (Dragons) stand in the Central League at No. 6 with a record of 60 - 81 (2) (winning percentage .426). We estimate their pennant odds at 0% and their Climax Series odds at 0%.

The odds ladder: pennant to championship

Pennant odds 0% Eliminated from the pennant race
Climax Series odds 0% Eliminated from Climax Series contention
Japan Series odds 0%
Championship odds 0%

Pennant and CS odds cover the regular-season finish, while Japan Series and championship odds extend into the postseason. A club that misses the pennant can still win it all through the CS, so its championship odds can exceed its pennant odds. A displayed 100% does not mean mathematical certainty, nor does 0% mean elimination.

Chunichi: standings forecast

Projected finish #6
Range #6-#6
Top-3 odds 0%
Last-place odds 100%
Proj. W-L 60 - 81 (2)
Chance of each finish #1 0% / #2 0% / #3 0% / #4 0% / #5 0% / #6 100%

Team strength (Elo)

Rating 1466.1 (No. 11 of the 12 clubs)
Last 30 days ↓−3.3
vs last week ↑+1.6
Best year ('06-'25) '06 (Elo 1542.2)
Worst year ('06-'25) '17 (Elo 1457.4)

The 'Last 30 days' and 'vs last week' columns show the change from the value 30 and 7 days earlier (as of the end of that day). When the season does not yet cover a window, or there were no games in the period, the cell shows '—'.

Pitching, batting, defense and baserunning

Chunichi sit close to the league average in pitching, batting, defense and baserunning alike.

Pitching Level with the league average

Key players柳 裕也大野 雄大髙橋 宏斗金丸 夢斗マラー

Yomiuri +6.2 wins Hanshin +3.1 wins DeNA −0.8 wins Hiroshima −3.2 wins Yakult −5.2 wins Chunichi −0.2 wins −10 +10
Yomiuri +6.2 wins Hanshin +3.1 wins DeNA −0.8 wins Hiroshima −3.2 wins Yakult −5.2 wins Chunichi −0.2 wins −10 +10

Batting Level with the league average

Key players細川 成也福永 裕基村松 開人サノー石川 昂弥

Yomiuri −0.3 wins Hanshin +8.0 wins DeNA +1.9 wins Hiroshima −3.9 wins Yakult −5.6 wins Chunichi −0.1 wins −10 +10
Yomiuri −0.3 wins Hanshin +8.0 wins DeNA +1.9 wins Hiroshima −3.9 wins Yakult −5.6 wins Chunichi −0.1 wins −10 +10

Defense −0.9 wins against the league average

Key players石伊 雄太加藤 匠馬石川 昂弥田中 幹也村松 開人

Yomiuri +1.9 wins Hanshin +0.3 wins DeNA −1.3 wins Hiroshima −0.3 wins Yakult +0.4 wins Chunichi −0.9 wins −5 +5
Yomiuri +1.9 wins Hanshin +0.3 wins DeNA −1.3 wins Hiroshima −0.3 wins Yakult +0.4 wins Chunichi −0.9 wins −5 +5

Baserunning Level with the league average

Key players福永 裕基田中 幹也岡林 勇希樋口 正修上林 誠知

Yomiuri +1.6 runs Hanshin −4.2 runs DeNA −6.5 runs Hiroshima +9.0 runs Yakult −0.5 runs Chunichi +0.6 runs −10 +10
Yomiuri +1.6 runs Hanshin −4.2 runs DeNA −6.5 runs Hiroshima +9.0 runs Yakult −0.5 runs Chunichi +0.6 runs −10 +10

Dots are this league's six clubs in club colors; the large dot is this club and the center line is the league average.

Each of the four figures says how many wins pitching, batting, defense and baserunning are worth against the average of the same league.

Breakdown of the key players' numbers

Batting overall C− (No. 8 of the 12 clubs)

  • Contact E(No. 11 of the 12 clubs)
  • Power C+(No. 4 of the 12 clubs)
  • Discipline B−(No. 3 of the 12 clubs)
  • Baserunning E+(No. 10 of the 12 clubs)

Pitching overall B− (No. 4 of the 12 clubs)

  • Prevention C(No. 6 of the 12 clubs)
  • Strikeouts C−(No. 5 of the 12 clubs)
  • Control C+(No. 4 of the 12 clubs)
  • Durability B(No. 4 of the 12 clubs)

The season so far

Chunichi Games over .500 end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media −20 −10 ±0 Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct D −21

Scroll right to see the full chart

Chunichi Games over .500 end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media −20 −10 ±0 Apr Jun Aug Oct D −21
Advertisements

Last 10: 3 - 7

Recent form (last 10 games)

  • Run differential−12Last 10
Chunichi Runs scored and allowed in the last 10 games end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media 5 5 10 10 15 15 Avg 3.34 Avg 3.45 0 2 1 14 8 5 10 0 3 7 3 4 4 5 3 5 1 5 3 1 ● ● ○ ○ ● ● ● ● ● ○ Sep 18 Sep 19 Sep 20 Sep 21 Sep 22 Sep 23 Sep 25 Sep 26 Oct 1 Oct 3

Scroll right to see the full chart

Chunichi Runs scored and allowed in the last 10 games end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media 5 5 10 10 15 15 3.34 3.45 ● ● ○ ○ ● ● ● ● ● ○ Sep 22 Oct 3
Advertisements
  • Runs per game ↑+0.26 Season3.34(No. 9 of the 12 clubs) Last 103.60
  • Runs allowed per game ↑+1.35 Season3.45(No. 5 of the 12 clubs) Last 104.80
  • Batting average .000 Season.228(No. 11 of the 12 clubs) Last 10.228
  • Home runs per game ↑+0.15 Season0.85(No. 6 of the 12 clubs) Last 101.00
  • Stolen bases per game ↓−0.16 Season0.36(No. 9 of the 12 clubs) Last 100.20
  • ERA ↑+1.29 Season3.28(No. 6 of the 12 clubs) Last 104.57

Shows how much better or worse the last 10 games have been than the season average.

Batting average, home runs, stolen bases and ERA are as of Oct 7, 2026.

Advertisements

Games in Oct and Nov

Scroll right for more

Central League Chunichi - Games in Oct and Nov
Date Opponent Ballpark Result /
Start
Thu, Oct 1 C Mazda ● 1-5
Sat, Oct 3 S Jingu ○ 3-1

○ = win, ● = loss, △ = tie. A venue other than this club's home (Vantelin Dome) normally means an away game, and games played away from the host club's regular park carry a Home / Away tag. Scores list this club's runs first, and games still to be played show the scheduled start time.

This season's games are over.

Advertisements

Championship odds across the last 10 games

Even by winning every remaining game, Chunichi cannot reach the winning percentage another club would finish with by losing all of theirs, so the pennant is out of reach.

Chunichi championship odds

Over the last 10 games: 0% → 0%. The pennant is out of reach.

end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media 0 50 100 Championship odds (%) 0% 0% Sep 18 Now

Scroll right to see the full chart

end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media 0 50 100 Championship odds (%) 0% 0% Sep 18 Now

Scroll right for more

Chunichi - recent games and championship odds
Date Opponent Result Championship odds
(after the game)
Change
Fri, Sep 18 GTokyo D ● 0-2 0% ±0.0 pt
Sat, Sep 19 GTokyo D ● 1-14 0% ±0.0 pt
Sun, Sep 20 CVan­telin ○ 8-5 0% ±0.0 pt
Mon, Sep 21 CVan­telin ○ 10-0 0% ±0.0 pt
Tue, Sep 22 DBYoko­hama ● 3-7 0% ±0.0 pt
Wed, Sep 23 DBYoko­hama ● 3-4 0% ±0.0 pt
Fri, Sep 25 SJingu ● 4-5 0% ±0.0 pt
Sat, Sep 26 SJingu ● 3-5 0% ±0.0 pt
Thu, Oct 1 CMazda ● 1-5 0% ±0.0 pt
Sat, Oct 3 SJingu ○ 3-1 0% ±0.0 pt

Change = the difference of a value that reflects every game played on that date, including the results of the other clubs.

The line under the opponent is the venue as listed in the official NPB schedule. A park other than the club's home (Vantelin Dome) normally means an away game; games played away from the host club's regular park carry a Home / Away tag.

League pennants (2006-2025)

Pennants in this window: 3

Age profile

Throws right Throws left Catchers Infielders Outfielders (Development players) Holding a top-team place Players from outside Japan

PitchersAgePosition players
41大島 洋平
涌井 秀章40
39
大野 雄大38
37阿部 寿樹
松葉 貴大36
35木下 拓哉
杉浦 稔大福 敬登34加藤 匠馬O.カリステ
33宇佐見 真吾M.サノー山本 泰寛川越 誠司J.ボスラー
柳 裕也32高橋 周平板山 祐太郎
A.アブレウ31上林 誠知
宮内 春輝(梅津 晃大)齋藤 綱記30福永 裕基
H.メヒア勝野 昌慶K.マラー29
藤嶋 健人森 博人橋本 侑樹近藤 廉28樋口 正修細川 成也
梅野 雄吾清水 達也三浦 瑞樹牧野 憲伸27知野 直人ブライト 健太鵜飼 航丞福元 悠真
根尾 昂松山 晋也伊藤 茉央26石伊 雄太石橋 康太田中 幹也尾田 剛樹
仲地 礼亜草加 勝(土生 翔太)25村松 開人石川 昂弥辻本 倫太郎(川上 理偉)
髙橋 宏斗吉田 聖弥24C.ロドリゲス土田 龍空(津田 啓史)岡林 勇希
松木平 優太櫻井 頼之介中西 聖輝金丸 夢斗(R.マルティネス)23味谷 大誠新保 茉良花田 旭
22(山浅 龍之介)(三上 愛介)
篠﨑 国忠福田 幸之介(森山 暁生)21
有馬 惠叶(井上 剣也)高橋 幸佑20森 駿太(中村 奈一輝)
19(石川 大峨)能戸 輝夢

Every age on this page is the age for this season. Whether the birthday has already come round is not taken into account.

What to reinforce in the draft

Chunichi's draft needs, in order: a left-handed hitter ready now, a left-handed hitter for the future and an infielder for the future.

Priority Right arm Left arm Catcher Infield Outfield RH hitter LH hitter
Ready now B E− D− C B+ E− A+
Future D− C+ B A+ B C+ A+
Priority Pitching Hitting Defense Baserunning
Skills C+ C B+ B−

Club facts

League Central League
Home ballpark Vantelin Dome Nagoya (Nagoya, Aichi) (as of the '26 season)

The estimated figures are worked out by this site and are not official announcements.

Reading the four odds figures

Pennant odds are the club's chance of finishing first in its league, worked out from how its remaining games are likely to go. CS odds are the chance of a top-three finish, Japan Series odds the chance of then surviving the Climax Series, and championship odds the chance of winning the Japan Series itself - the four figures narrow in that order. All of them are estimates that move with the season, not definitive calls.

The defensive detail is on Central League fielding, and the draft picks on Chunichi draft picks.

Reading the Elo strength and the season trajectory

Team strength (Elo) is a strength measure that weighs the opponent's strength; 1500 is the average.

The season trajectory plots games above .500 (wins minus losses), tracing the ups and downs of the season, and the last-10 strip shows current form. League-wide views live on the team strength ratings page and the net-wins chart page.

About the pennant years and the club facts

The pennant years are based on each season's final standings. The list is limited to the recent seasons stated explicitly in the heading - a shorter span than the full pennant race archive, where earlier years can be traced. Only titles belonging to the lineage of today's twelve clubs (predecessor clubs included) are counted; titles of clubs with no present-day successor are excluded. The club facts list permanent information only, each with the date it was recorded.

Advertisements