SoftBank Pennant Odds & Analysis (2026)

Pacific League

Rank #1
W - L (T) 91 - 49 (3)
PCT .650

end of Oct 8, 2026 / npbc.media

As of the end of Oct 8, 2026, SoftBank (Hawks) stand in the Pacific League at No. 1 with a record of 91 - 49 (3) (winning percentage .650). We estimate their pennant odds at 100% and their Climax Series odds at 100%.

The odds ladder: pennant to championship

Pennant odds 100%
Climax Series odds 100%
Japan Series odds 92.1%
Championship odds 57.9%

Pennant and CS odds cover the regular-season finish, while Japan Series and championship odds extend into the postseason. A club that misses the pennant can still win it all through the CS, so its championship odds can exceed its pennant odds. A displayed 100% does not mean mathematical certainty, nor does 0% mean elimination.

SoftBank: standings forecast

Projected finish #1
Range #1-#1
Top-3 odds 100%
Last-place odds 0%
Proj. W-L 91 - 49 (3)
Chance of each finish #1 100% / #2 0% / #3 0% / #4 0% / #5 0% / #6 0%

Team strength (Elo)

Rating 1574.1 (No. 1 of the 12 clubs)
Last 30 days ↑+10.1
vs last week ↓−2.5
Best year ('06-'25) '17 (Elo 1578.1)
Worst year ('06-'25) '09 (Elo 1485.4)

The 'Last 30 days' and 'vs last week' columns show the change from the value 30 and 7 days earlier (as of the end of that day). When the season does not yet cover a window, or there were no games in the period, the cell shows '—'.

Pitching, batting, defense and baserunning

SoftBank are winning with Pitching and Batting. The club is a little above average in Defense and Baserunning.

Pitching +10.4 wins against the league average

Key players上沢 直之前田 悠伍大津 亮介松本 晴モイネロ

Nippon-Ham +2.2 wins Lotte −6.8 wins Rakuten −2.6 wins Seibu +8.7 wins ORIX −12.0 wins SoftBank +10.4 wins −20 +20
Nippon-Ham +2.2 wins Lotte −6.8 wins Rakuten −2.6 wins Seibu +8.7 wins ORIX −12.0 wins SoftBank +10.4 wins −20 +20

Batting +5.6 wins against the league average

Key players近藤 健介栗原 陵矢正木 智也柳田 悠岐周東 佑京

Nippon-Ham +2.3 wins Lotte −1.9 wins Rakuten −3.3 wins Seibu −2.0 wins ORIX −0.8 wins SoftBank +5.6 wins −10 +10
Nippon-Ham +2.3 wins Lotte −1.9 wins Rakuten −3.3 wins Seibu −2.0 wins ORIX −0.8 wins SoftBank +5.6 wins −10 +10

Defense +2.5 wins against the league average

Key players海野 隆司川瀬 晃庄子 雄大山本 祐大牧原 大成

Nippon-Ham −0.1 wins Lotte +2.5 wins Rakuten −3.7 wins Seibu +3.5 wins ORIX −4.6 wins SoftBank +2.5 wins −5 +5
Nippon-Ham −0.1 wins Lotte +2.5 wins Rakuten −3.7 wins Seibu +3.5 wins ORIX −4.6 wins SoftBank +2.5 wins −5 +5

Baserunning +8.9 runs against the league average

Key players周東 佑京庄子 雄大牧原 大成正木 智也近藤 健介

Nippon-Ham +3.6 runs Lotte +1.8 runs Rakuten −9.7 runs Seibu +2.9 runs ORIX −7.5 runs SoftBank +8.9 runs −10 +10
Nippon-Ham +3.6 runs Lotte +1.8 runs Rakuten −9.7 runs Seibu +2.9 runs ORIX −7.5 runs SoftBank +8.9 runs −10 +10

Dots are this league's six clubs in club colors; the large dot is this club and the center line is the league average.

Each of the four figures says how many wins pitching, batting, defense and baserunning are worth against the average of the same league.

Breakdown of the key players' numbers

Batting overall A− (No. 2 of the 12 clubs)

  • Contact A−(No. 1 of the 12 clubs)
  • Power C+(No. 3 of the 12 clubs)
  • Discipline B+(No. 2 of the 12 clubs)
  • Baserunning B−(No. 3 of the 12 clubs)

Pitching overall C− (No. 5 of the 12 clubs)

  • Prevention C+(No. 5 of the 12 clubs)
  • Strikeouts C−(No. 7 of the 12 clubs)
  • Control C−(No. 6 of the 12 clubs)
  • Durability D+(No. 7 of the 12 clubs)

The season so far

SoftBank Games over .500 end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media ±0 +20 +40 Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct H +42

Scroll right to see the full chart

SoftBank Games over .500 end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media ±0 +20 +40 Apr Jun Aug Oct H +42
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Last 10: 7 - 3

Recent form (last 10 games)

  • Run differential+30Last 10
  • 2-game losing streak
SoftBank Runs scored and allowed in the last 10 games end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media 5 5 10 10 15 15 Avg 4.94 Avg 3.16 3 5 6 5 10 3 9 0 4 0 12 5 8 2 4 3 1 2 1 3 ● ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ● ● Sep 20 Sep 22 Sep 23 Sep 25 Sep 26 Sep 27 Oct 1 Oct 2 Oct 3 Oct 5

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SoftBank Runs scored and allowed in the last 10 games end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media 5 5 10 10 15 15 4.94 3.16 ● ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ● ● Sep 26 Oct 5
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  • Runs per game ↑+0.86 Season4.94(No. 1 of the 12 clubs) Last 105.80
  • Runs allowed per game ↓−0.36 Season3.16(No. 3 of the 12 clubs) Last 102.80
  • Batting average ↑+.029 Season.261(No. 1 of the 12 clubs) Last 10.290
  • Home runs per game ↑+0.67 Season1.13(No. 2 of the 12 clubs) Last 101.80
  • Stolen bases per game ↑+0.06 Season0.54(No. 3 of the 12 clubs) Last 100.60
  • ERA ↑+0.02 Season2.88(No. 3 of the 12 clubs) Last 102.90

Shows how much better or worse the last 10 games have been than the season average.

Batting average, home runs, stolen bases and ERA are as of Oct 7, 2026.

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Games in Oct and Nov

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Pacific League SoftBank - Games in Oct and Nov
Date Opponent Ballpark Result /
Start
Thu, Oct 1 E Raku­ten ○ 8-2
Fri, Oct 2 M ZOZO ○ 4-3
Sat, Oct 3 M ZOZO ● 1-2
Mon, Oct 5 E Raku­ten ● 1-3

○ = win, ● = loss, △ = tie. A venue other than this club's home (PayPay Dome) normally means an away game, and games played away from the host club's regular park carry a Home / Away tag. Scores list this club's runs first, and games still to be played show the scheduled start time.

This season's games are over.

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Championship odds across the last 10 games

Title clinched

SoftBank championship odds

Over the last 10 games: 100% → 100%. The pennant is clinched.

end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media 0 50 100 Championship odds (%) 100% 100% Sep 20 Now

Scroll right to see the full chart

end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media 0 50 100 Championship odds (%) 100% 100% Sep 20 Now

Scroll right for more

SoftBank - recent games and championship odds
Date Opponent Result Championship odds
(after the game)
Change
Sun, Sep 20 ERaku­ten ● 3-5 100% ±0.0 pt
Tue, Sep 22 LPayPay ○ 6-5 100% ±0.0 pt
Wed, Sep 23 LPayPay ○ 10-3 100% ±0.0 pt
Fri, Sep 25 BKyo­cera ○ 9-0 100% ±0.0 pt
Sat, Sep 26 EPayPay ○ 4-0 100% ±0.0 pt
Sun, Sep 27 BPayPay ○ 12-5 100% ±0.0 pt
Thu, Oct 1 ERaku­ten ○ 8-2 100% ±0.0 pt
Fri, Oct 2 MZOZO ○ 4-3 100% ±0.0 pt
Sat, Oct 3 MZOZO ● 1-2 100% ±0.0 pt
Mon, Oct 5 ERaku­ten ● 1-3 100% ±0.0 pt

Change = the difference of a value that reflects every game played on that date, including the results of the other clubs.

The line under the opponent is the venue as listed in the official NPB schedule. A park other than the club's home (PayPay Dome) normally means an away game; games played away from the host club's regular park carry a Home / Away tag.

League pennants (2006-2025)

Pennants in this window: 8

Age profile

Throws right Throws left Catchers Infielders Outfielders (Development players) Holding a top-team place Players from outside Japan

PitchersAgePosition players
38柳田 悠岐
37中村 晃
東浜 巨36
35嶺井 博希今宮 健太山川 穂高
34牧原 大成
33近藤 健介
上沢 直之32
R.オスナL.モイネロ31
松本 裕樹藤井 皓哉上茶谷 大河中村 稔弥D.ヘルナンデス30栗原 陵矢野村 勇周東 佑京
伊藤 優輔杉山 一樹大関 友久29谷川原 健太海野 隆司川瀬 晃柳町 達
津森 宥紀28山本 祐大J.ダウンズ緒方 理貢
大津 亮介J.ラトリッジ大竹 風雅C.スチュワート・ジュニア(川口 冬弥)大江 竜聖(長谷川 威展)27(大友 宗)山本 恵大川村 友斗正木 智也(大泉 周也)
木村 光徐 若熙(澤柳 亮太郎)前田 純26渡邉 陸(西尾 歩真)(重松 凱人)(生海)
岩井 俊介L.ロドリゲス(村田 賢一)(宮里 優吾)松本 晴25石塚 綜一郎廣瀨 隆太髙橋 隆慶(鈴木 貴大)
大山 凌安德 駿(岡田 皓一朗)(相原 雄太)(田上 奏大)24(牧原 巧汰)秋広 優人庄子 雄大(桑原 秀侍)笹川 吉康(漁府 輝羽)
小林 樹斗岩崎 峻典鈴木 豪太相良 雅斗(大矢 琉晟)(山崎 琢磨)木村 大成23(藤野 恵音)
稲川 竜汰北斗(ハモンド)(井﨑 燦志郎)(岡植 純平)(内野 海斗)A.アルメンタ大野 稼頭央22(盛島 稜大)イヒネ イツア(山下 恭吾)(佐藤 航太)
張 峻瑋藤原 大翔(佐々木 明都)(飛田 悠成)前田 悠伍(長水 啓眞)(D.サルディ)21藤田 悠太郎(中澤 恒貴)(佐倉 俠史朗)
(塩士 暖)(津嘉山 憲志郎)(河野 伸一朗)(熊谷 太雅)20石見 颯真宇野 真仁朗(ザイレン)(木下 勇人)
村上 泰斗(長﨑 蓮汰)19(池田 栞太)(広瀬 結煌)(大橋 令和)(江崎 歩)(J.モレノ)(D.アルモンテ)(J.オスーナ)(エミール)

Every age on this page is the age for this season. Whether the birthday has already come round is not taken into account.

What to reinforce in the draft

SoftBank's draft needs, in order: an outfielder for the future, a right-handed hitter for the future and a right-handed hitter ready now.

Priority Right arm Left arm Catcher Infield Outfield RH hitter LH hitter
Ready now D− E− D E− E− A+ E−
Future C+ D− C C+ A+ A+ D
Priority Pitching Hitting Defense Baserunning
Skills D− D D D

Club facts

League Pacific League
Home ballpark Mizuho PayPay Dome Fukuoka (Fukuoka) (as of the '26 season)

The estimated figures are worked out by this site and are not official announcements.

Reading the four odds figures

Pennant odds are the club's chance of finishing first in its league, worked out from how its remaining games are likely to go. CS odds are the chance of a top-three finish, Japan Series odds the chance of then surviving the Climax Series, and championship odds the chance of winning the Japan Series itself - the four figures narrow in that order. All of them are estimates that move with the season, not definitive calls.

The defensive detail is on Pacific League fielding, and the draft picks on SoftBank draft picks.

Reading the Elo strength and the season trajectory

Team strength (Elo) is a strength measure that weighs the opponent's strength; 1500 is the average.

The season trajectory plots games above .500 (wins minus losses), tracing the ups and downs of the season, and the last-10 strip shows current form. League-wide views live on the team strength ratings page and the net-wins chart page.

About the pennant years and the club facts

The pennant years are based on each season's final standings. The list is limited to the recent seasons stated explicitly in the heading - a shorter span than the full pennant race archive, where earlier years can be traced. Only titles belonging to the lineage of today's twelve clubs (predecessor clubs included) are counted; titles of clubs with no present-day successor are excluded. The club facts list permanent information only, each with the date it was recorded.

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