Seibu Pennant Odds & Analysis (2026)

Pacific League

Rank #2
W - L (T) 79 - 60 (4)
PCT .568

end of Oct 8, 2026 / npbc.media

As of the end of Oct 8, 2026, Seibu (Lions) stand in the Pacific League at No. 2 with a record of 79 - 60 (4) (winning percentage .568). We estimate their pennant odds at 0% and their Climax Series odds at 100%.

The odds ladder: pennant to championship

Pennant odds 0% Eliminated from the pennant race
Climax Series odds 100%
Japan Series odds 4.5%
Championship odds 2.2%

Pennant and CS odds cover the regular-season finish, while Japan Series and championship odds extend into the postseason. A club that misses the pennant can still win it all through the CS, so its championship odds can exceed its pennant odds. A displayed 100% does not mean mathematical certainty, nor does 0% mean elimination.

Seibu: standings forecast

Projected finish #2
Range #2-#2
Top-3 odds 100%
Last-place odds 0%
Proj. W-L 79 - 60 (4)
Chance of each finish #1 0% / #2 100% / #3 0% / #4 0% / #5 0% / #6 0%

Team strength (Elo)

Rating 1510.7 (No. 5 of the 12 clubs)
Last 30 days ↓−0.3
vs last week ↑+2.9
Best year ('06-'25) '18 (Elo 1549.7)
Worst year ('06-'25) '24 (Elo 1443.2)

The 'Last 30 days' and 'vs last week' columns show the change from the value 30 and 7 days earlier (as of the end of that day). When the season does not yet cover a window, or there were no games in the period, the cell shows '—'.

Pitching, batting, defense and baserunning

Seibu are winning with Pitching and Defense. The club is a little below average in Batting, level with the average in Baserunning.

Pitching +8.7 wins against the league average

Key players平良 海馬隅田 知一郎髙橋 光成武内 夏暉甲斐野 央

SoftBank +10.4 wins Nippon-Ham +2.2 wins Lotte −6.8 wins Rakuten −2.6 wins ORIX −12.0 wins Seibu +8.7 wins −20 +20
SoftBank +10.4 wins Nippon-Ham +2.2 wins Lotte −6.8 wins Rakuten −2.6 wins ORIX −12.0 wins Seibu +8.7 wins −20 +20

Batting −2.0 wins against the league average

Key playersネビンカナリオ長谷川 信哉渡部 聖弥小島 大河

SoftBank +5.6 wins Nippon-Ham +2.3 wins Lotte −1.9 wins Rakuten −3.3 wins ORIX −0.8 wins Seibu −2.0 wins −10 +10
SoftBank +5.6 wins Nippon-Ham +2.3 wins Lotte −1.9 wins Rakuten −3.3 wins ORIX −0.8 wins Seibu −2.0 wins −10 +10

Defense +3.5 wins against the league average

Key players古賀 悠斗源田 壮亮小島 大河滝澤 夏央柘植 世那

SoftBank +2.5 wins Nippon-Ham −0.1 wins Lotte +2.5 wins Rakuten −3.7 wins ORIX −4.6 wins Seibu +3.5 wins −5 +5
SoftBank +2.5 wins Nippon-Ham −0.1 wins Lotte +2.5 wins Rakuten −3.7 wins ORIX −4.6 wins Seibu +3.5 wins −5 +5

Baserunning +2.9 runs against the league average

Key players桑原 将志平沢 大河小島 大河源田 壮亮仲田 慶介

SoftBank +8.9 runs Nippon-Ham +3.6 runs Lotte +1.8 runs Rakuten −9.7 runs ORIX −7.5 runs Seibu +2.9 runs −10 +10
SoftBank +8.9 runs Nippon-Ham +3.6 runs Lotte +1.8 runs Rakuten −9.7 runs ORIX −7.5 runs Seibu +2.9 runs −10 +10

Dots are this league's six clubs in club colors; the large dot is this club and the center line is the league average.

Each of the four figures says how many wins pitching, batting, defense and baserunning are worth against the average of the same league.

Breakdown of the key players' numbers

Batting overall C− (No. 7 of the 12 clubs)

  • Contact C−(No. 5 of the 12 clubs)
  • Power D+(No. 8 of the 12 clubs)
  • Discipline E−(No. 12 of the 12 clubs)
  • Baserunning C+(No. 4 of the 12 clubs)

Pitching overall B+ (No. 2 of the 12 clubs)

  • Prevention B+(No. 1 of the 12 clubs)
  • Strikeouts C(No. 3 of the 12 clubs)
  • Control D(No. 8 of the 12 clubs)
  • Durability A−(No. 1 of the 12 clubs)

The season so far

Seibu Games over .500 end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media ±0 +10 +20 Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct L +19

Scroll right to see the full chart

Seibu Games over .500 end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media ±0 +10 +20 Apr Jun Aug Oct L +19
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Last 10: 6 - 4

Recent form (last 10 games)

  • Run differential±0Last 10
  • 3-game winning streak
Seibu Runs scored and allowed in the last 10 games end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media 5 5 10 10 Avg 3.52 Avg 3.24 4 2 5 6 3 10 2 6 5 4 3 2 2 4 2 1 7 1 3 0 ○ ● ● ● ○ ○ ● ○ ○ ○ Sep 19 Sep 22 Sep 23 Sep 25 Sep 26 Sep 27 Sep 28 Sep 29 Oct 5 Oct 6

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Seibu Runs scored and allowed in the last 10 games end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media 5 5 10 10 3.52 3.24 ○ ● ● ● ○ ○ ● ○ ○ ○ Sep 26 Oct 6
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  • Runs per game ↑+0.08 Season3.52(No. 5 of the 12 clubs) Last 103.60
  • Runs allowed per game ↑+0.36 Season3.24(No. 4 of the 12 clubs) Last 103.60
  • Batting average ↓−.026 Season.244(No. 5 of the 12 clubs) Last 10.219
  • Home runs per game ↑+0.44 Season0.76(No. 7 of the 12 clubs) Last 101.20
  • Stolen bases per game ↓−0.09 Season0.39(No. 8 of the 12 clubs) Last 100.30
  • ERA ↑+0.18 Season2.88(No. 4 of the 12 clubs) Last 103.07

Shows how much better or worse the last 10 games have been than the season average.

Batting average, home runs, stolen bases and ERA are as of Oct 7, 2026.

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Games in Oct and Nov

Scroll right for more

Pacific League Seibu - Games in Oct and Nov
Date Opponent Ballpark Result /
Start
Mon, Oct 5 M ZOZO ○ 7-1
Tue, Oct 6 M ZOZO ○ 3-0
Sat, Oct 10 F Bel­luna 14:00
Sun, Oct 11 F Bel­luna 14:00
Mon (hol), Oct 12 F Bel­luna 14:00

○ = win, ● = loss, △ = tie. A venue other than this club's home (Belluna Dome) normally means an away game, and games played away from the host club's regular park carry a Home / Away tag. Scores list this club's runs first, and games still to be played show the scheduled start time.

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Championship odds across the last 10 games

Even by winning every remaining game, Seibu cannot reach the winning percentage another club would finish with by losing all of theirs, so the pennant is out of reach.

Seibu championship odds

Over the last 10 games: 0% → 0%. The pennant is out of reach.

end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media 0 50 100 Championship odds (%) 0% 0% Sep 19 Now

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end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media 0 50 100 Championship odds (%) 0% 0% Sep 19 Now

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Seibu - recent games and championship odds
Date Opponent Result Championship odds
(after the game)
Change
Sat, Sep 19 MZOZO ○ 4-2 0% ±0.0 pt
Tue, Sep 22 HPayPay ● 5-6 0% ±0.0 pt
Wed, Sep 23 HPayPay ● 3-10 0% ±0.0 pt
Fri, Sep 25 MBel­luna ● 2-6 0% ±0.0 pt
Sat, Sep 26 MBel­luna ○ 5-4 0% ±0.0 pt
Sun, Sep 27 EBel­luna ○ 3-2 0% ±0.0 pt
Mon, Sep 28 EBel­luna ● 2-4 0% ±0.0 pt
Tue, Sep 29 BBel­luna ○ 2-1 0% ±0.0 pt
Mon, Oct 5 MZOZO ○ 7-1 0% ±0.0 pt
Tue, Oct 6 MZOZO ○ 3-0 0% ±0.0 pt

Change = the difference of a value that reflects every game played on that date, including the results of the other clubs.

The line under the opponent is the venue as listed in the official NPB schedule. A park other than the club's home (Belluna Dome) normally means an away game; games played away from the host club's regular park carry a Home / Away tag.

League pennants (2006-2025)

Pennants in this window: 3

Age profile

Throws right Throws left Catchers Infielders Outfielders (Development players) Holding a top-team place Players from outside Japan

PitchersAgePosition players
43中村 剛也栗山 巧
42
41
40
39炭谷 銀仁朗
38
37
36
35
森脇 亮介34外崎 修汰
33源田 壮亮桑原 将志
T.ウィンゲンターE.ラミレス黒木 優太32石井 一成
A.ワイナンス中村 祐太與座 海人(高橋 礼)31
甲斐野 央松本 航(佐々木 健)30岸 潤一郎
ボー・タカハシ髙橋 光成29柘植 世那T.ネビン平沢 大河林 安可
糸川 亮太28児玉 亮涼若林 楽人
平良 海馬(宮澤 太成)浜屋 将太隅田 知一郎27古賀 悠斗髙松 渡仲田 慶介西川 愛也茶野 篤政(奥村 光一)
青山 美夏人渡邉 勇太朗(三浦 大輝)佐藤 隼輔26是澤 涼輔(野村 大樹)(古賀 輝希)A.カナリオ蛭間 拓哉
上田 大河(上間 永遠)武内 夏暉(シンクレア)25牧野 翔矢村田 怜音
(J.ゴンザレス)(正木 悠馬)(フレッド)24佐藤 太陽山村 崇嘉(J.コルニエル)川田 悠慎長谷川 信哉渡部 聖弥仲三 優太林 冠臣
豆田 泰志堀越 啓太(斎藤 佳紳)(A.モーレ)佐藤 爽菅井 信也岩城 颯空羽田 慎之介(平口 寛人)23小島 大河滝澤 夏央(金子 功児)秋山 俊(安藤 銀杜)(カルロス)
黒田 将矢山田 陽翔(R.オリバー)22(谷口 朝陽)古川 雄大
(木瀬 翔太)(ムサ)杉山 遙希(川下 将勲)21(野田 海人)
成田 晴風篠原 響狩生 聖真冨士 大和20龍山 暖(福尾 遥真)(ラマル)(オケム)(澤田 遥斗)
(濱岡 蒼太)19齋藤 大翔横田 蒼和(今岡 拓夢)(新井 唯斗)
18
17(F.アポンテ)

Every age on this page is the age for this season. Whether the birthday has already come round is not taken into account.

What to reinforce in the draft

Seibu's draft needs, in order: a left-handed hitter ready now, an infielder ready now and an outfielder ready now.

Priority Right arm Left arm Catcher Infield Outfield RH hitter LH hitter
Ready now E− E+ C+ A− B D+ A+
Future C E− E− E− D+ C E−
Priority Pitching Hitting Defense Baserunning
Skills D B+ D− C−

Club facts

League Pacific League
Home ballpark Belluna Dome (Tokorozawa, Saitama) (as of the '26 season)

The estimated figures are worked out by this site and are not official announcements.

Reading the four odds figures

Pennant odds are the club's chance of finishing first in its league, worked out from how its remaining games are likely to go. CS odds are the chance of a top-three finish, Japan Series odds the chance of then surviving the Climax Series, and championship odds the chance of winning the Japan Series itself - the four figures narrow in that order. All of them are estimates that move with the season, not definitive calls.

The defensive detail is on Pacific League fielding, and the draft picks on Seibu draft picks.

Reading the Elo strength and the season trajectory

Team strength (Elo) is a strength measure that weighs the opponent's strength; 1500 is the average.

The season trajectory plots games above .500 (wins minus losses), tracing the ups and downs of the season, and the last-10 strip shows current form. League-wide views live on the team strength ratings page and the net-wins chart page.

About the pennant years and the club facts

The pennant years are based on each season's final standings. The list is limited to the recent seasons stated explicitly in the heading - a shorter span than the full pennant race archive, where earlier years can be traced. Only titles belonging to the lineage of today's twelve clubs (predecessor clubs included) are counted; titles of clubs with no present-day successor are excluded. The club facts list permanent information only, each with the date it was recorded.

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