DeNA Pennant Odds & Analysis (2026)

Central League

Rank #3
W - L (T) 71 - 69 (3)
PCT .507

end of Oct 8, 2026 / npbc.media

As of the end of Oct 8, 2026, DeNA (BayStars) stand in the Central League at No. 3 with a record of 71 - 69 (3) (winning percentage .507). We estimate their pennant odds at 0% and their Climax Series odds at 100%.

The odds ladder: pennant to championship

Pennant odds 0% Eliminated from the pennant race
Climax Series odds 100%
Japan Series odds 8.7%
Championship odds 2.9%

Pennant and CS odds cover the regular-season finish, while Japan Series and championship odds extend into the postseason. A club that misses the pennant can still win it all through the CS, so its championship odds can exceed its pennant odds. A displayed 100% does not mean mathematical certainty, nor does 0% mean elimination.

DeNA: standings forecast

Projected finish #3
Range #3-#3
Top-3 odds 100%
Last-place odds 0%
Proj. W-L 71 - 69 (3)
Chance of each finish #1 0% / #2 0% / #3 100% / #4 0% / #5 0% / #6 0%

Team strength (Elo)

Rating 1506.7 (No. 6 of the 12 clubs)
Last 30 days ↑+10.1
vs last week ↑+3.1
Best year ('06-'25) '23 (Elo 1514.9)
Worst year ('06-'25) '10 (Elo 1420.3)

The 'Last 30 days' and 'vs last week' columns show the change from the value 30 and 7 days earlier (as of the end of that day). When the season does not yet cover a window, or there were no games in the period, the cell shows '—'.

Pitching, batting, defense and baserunning

DeNA sit close to the league average in pitching, batting, defense and baserunning alike.

Pitching −0.8 wins against the league average

Key players東 克樹レイノルズ石田 裕太郎浜地 真澄平良 拳太郎

Yomiuri +6.2 wins Hanshin +3.1 wins Hiroshima −3.2 wins Chunichi −0.2 wins Yakult −5.2 wins DeNA −0.8 wins −10 +10
Yomiuri +6.2 wins Hanshin +3.1 wins Hiroshima −3.2 wins Chunichi −0.2 wins Yakult −5.2 wins DeNA −0.8 wins −10 +10

Batting +1.9 wins against the league average

Key players牧 秀悟筒香 嘉智佐野 恵太度会 隆輝宮﨑 敏郎

Yomiuri −0.3 wins Hanshin +8.0 wins Hiroshima −3.9 wins Chunichi −0.1 wins Yakult −5.6 wins DeNA +1.9 wins −10 +10
Yomiuri −0.3 wins Hanshin +8.0 wins Hiroshima −3.9 wins Chunichi −0.1 wins Yakult −5.6 wins DeNA +1.9 wins −10 +10

Defense −1.3 wins against the league average

Key players松尾 汐恩宮﨑 敏郎宮下 朝陽林 琢真京田 陽太

Yomiuri +1.9 wins Hanshin +0.3 wins Hiroshima −0.3 wins Chunichi −0.9 wins Yakult +0.4 wins DeNA −1.3 wins −5 +5
Yomiuri +1.9 wins Hanshin +0.3 wins Hiroshima −0.3 wins Chunichi −0.9 wins Yakult +0.4 wins DeNA −1.3 wins −5 +5

Baserunning −6.5 runs against the league average

Key players三森 大貴勝又 温史筒香 嘉智石上 泰輝梶原 昂希

Yomiuri +1.6 runs Hanshin −4.2 runs Hiroshima +9.0 runs Chunichi +0.6 runs Yakult −0.5 runs DeNA −6.5 runs −10 +10
Yomiuri +1.6 runs Hanshin −4.2 runs Hiroshima +9.0 runs Chunichi +0.6 runs Yakult −0.5 runs DeNA −6.5 runs −10 +10

Dots are this league's six clubs in club colors; the large dot is this club and the center line is the league average.

Each of the four figures says how many wins pitching, batting, defense and baserunning are worth against the average of the same league.

Breakdown of the key players' numbers

Batting overall C− (No. 6 of the 12 clubs)

  • Contact B+(No. 2 of the 12 clubs)
  • Power B(No. 2 of the 12 clubs)
  • Discipline D(No. 8 of the 12 clubs)
  • Baserunning G(No. 12 of the 12 clubs)

Pitching overall D+ (No. 8 of the 12 clubs)

  • Prevention C+(No. 4 of the 12 clubs)
  • Strikeouts C−(No. 6 of the 12 clubs)
  • Control D−(No. 10 of the 12 clubs)
  • Durability E+(No. 11 of the 12 clubs)

The season so far

DeNA Games over .500 end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media −15 −10 −5 ±0 +5 Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct DB +2

Scroll right to see the full chart

DeNA Games over .500 end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media −15 −10 −5 ±0 +5 Apr Jun Aug Oct DB +2
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Last 10: 5 - 5

Recent form (last 10 games)

  • Run differential−6Last 10
  • 2-game winning streak
DeNA Runs scored and allowed in the last 10 games end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media 2 2 4 4 6 6 8 8 Avg 3.90 Avg 3.58 1 8 2 3 7 3 4 3 2 1 3 8 3 5 3 4 5 2 2 1 ● ● ○ ○ ○ ● ● ● ○ ○ Sep 20 Sep 21 Sep 22 Sep 23 Sep 25 Sep 26 Sep 27 Sep 28 Oct 3 Oct 4

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DeNA Runs scored and allowed in the last 10 games end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media 2 2 4 4 6 6 8 8 3.90 3.58 ● ● ○ ○ ○ ● ● ● ○ ○ Sep 25 Oct 4
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  • Runs per game ↓−0.70 Season3.90(No. 3 of the 12 clubs) Last 103.20
  • Runs allowed per game ↑+0.22 Season3.58(No. 6 of the 12 clubs) Last 103.80
  • Batting average ↓−.014 Season.246(No. 4 of the 12 clubs) Last 10.232
  • Home runs per game ↓−0.37 Season0.87(No. 5 of the 12 clubs) Last 100.50
  • Stolen bases per game ↓−0.25 Season0.35(No. 10 of the 12 clubs) Last 100.10
  • ERA ↑+0.13 Season3.27(No. 5 of the 12 clubs) Last 103.40

Shows how much better or worse the last 10 games have been than the season average.

Batting average, home runs, stolen bases and ERA are as of Oct 7, 2026.

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Games in Oct and Nov

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Central League DeNA - Games in Oct and Nov
Date Opponent Ballpark Result /
Start
Sat, Oct 3 G Tokyo D ○ 5-2
Sun, Oct 4 T Yoko­hama ○ 2-1
Sat, Oct 10 G Tokyo D 14:00
Sun, Oct 11 G Tokyo D 14:00
Mon (hol), Oct 12 G Tokyo D 14:00

○ = win, ● = loss, △ = tie. A venue other than this club's home (Yokohama) normally means an away game, and games played away from the host club's regular park carry a Home / Away tag. Scores list this club's runs first, and games still to be played show the scheduled start time.

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Championship odds across the last 10 games

Even by winning every remaining game, DeNA cannot reach the winning percentage another club would finish with by losing all of theirs, so the pennant is out of reach.

DeNA championship odds

Over the last 10 games: 0.2% → 0%. The pennant is out of reach.

end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media 0 50 100 Championship odds (%) 0% 0% Sep 20 Now

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end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media 0 50 100 Championship odds (%) 0% 0% Sep 20 Now

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DeNA - recent games and championship odds
Date Opponent Result Championship odds
(after the game)
Change
Sun, Sep 20 TKo­shien ● 1-8 0% −0.2 pt
Mon, Sep 21 TKo­shien ● 2-3 0% ±0.0 pt
Tue, Sep 22 DYoko­hama ○ 7-3 0% ±0.0 pt
Wed, Sep 23 DYoko­hama ○ 4-3 0% ±0.0 pt
Fri, Sep 25 TYoko­hama ○ 2-1 0% ±0.0 pt
Sat, Sep 26 TYoko­hama ● 3-8 0% ±0.0 pt
Sun, Sep 27 CYoko­hama ● 3-5 0% ±0.0 pt
Mon, Sep 28 CYoko­hama ● 3-4 0% ±0.0 pt
Sat, Oct 3 GTokyo D ○ 5-2 0% ±0.0 pt
Sun, Oct 4 TYoko­hama ○ 2-1 0% ±0.0 pt

Change = the difference of a value that reflects every game played on that date, including the results of the other clubs.

The line under the opponent is the venue as listed in the official NPB schedule. A park other than the club's home (Yokohama) normally means an away game; games played away from the host club's regular park carry a Home / Away tag.

League pennants (2006-2025)

No league pennant within this window.

Age profile

Throws right Throws left Catchers Infielders Outfielders (Development players) Holding a top-team place Players from outside Japan

PitchersAgePosition players
38宮﨑 敏郎
37D.ビシエド
36戸柱 恭孝
森原 康平35筒香 嘉智
山﨑 康晃34
石田 健大33柴田 竜拓
大貫 晋一藤浪 晋太郎佐々木 千隼J.デュプランティエJ.ルイーズ32京田 陽太神里 和毅C.ヒュンメル佐野 恵太
馬場 皐輔平良 拳太郎O.ビド東 克樹31関根 大気
30
A.コックス坂本 裕哉29蝦名 達夫J.エンカーナシオン
伊勢 大夢S.レイノルズ浜地 真澄吉野 光樹入江 大生堀岡 隼人中川 颯岩田 将貴片山 皓心28九鬼 隆平牧 秀悟
尾形 崇斗竹田 祐中川 虎大27三森 大貴(西巻 賢二)梶原 昂希
若松 尚輝宮城 滝太橋本 達弥26益子 京右林 琢真井上 絢登濱 将乃介勝又 温史
松本 凌人庄司 陽斗25東妻 純平(上甲 凌大)石上 泰輝成瀬 脩人
石田 裕太郎篠木 健太郎H.マルセリーノ坂口 翔颯(松本 隆之介)24古市 尊森 敬斗加藤 響度会 隆輝
小園 健太島田 舜也深沢 鳳介23井上 朋也小田 康一郎
(森下 瑠大)22松尾 汐恩宮下 朝陽
(清水 麻成)武田 陸玖21(近藤 大雅)(小笠原 蒼)
(吉岡 暖)(金渕 光希)20高見澤 郁魅(小針 大輝)
19田内 真翔(清水 詩太)

Every age on this page is the age for this season. Whether the birthday has already come round is not taken into account.

What to reinforce in the draft

DeNA's draft needs, in order: a left-handed pitcher for the future, a left-handed pitcher ready now and a right-handed pitcher ready now.

Priority Right arm Left arm Catcher Infield Outfield RH hitter LH hitter
Ready now B− B+ D E+ C+ D+ D−
Future E− A+ E− D C C E
Priority Pitching Hitting Defense Baserunning
Skills B− C− A− A−

Club facts

League Central League
Home ballpark Yokohama Stadium (Yokohama, Kanagawa) (as of the '26 season)

The estimated figures are worked out by this site and are not official announcements.

Reading the four odds figures

Pennant odds are the club's chance of finishing first in its league, worked out from how its remaining games are likely to go. CS odds are the chance of a top-three finish, Japan Series odds the chance of then surviving the Climax Series, and championship odds the chance of winning the Japan Series itself - the four figures narrow in that order. All of them are estimates that move with the season, not definitive calls.

The defensive detail is on Central League fielding, and the draft picks on DeNA draft picks.

Reading the Elo strength and the season trajectory

Team strength (Elo) is a strength measure that weighs the opponent's strength; 1500 is the average.

The season trajectory plots games above .500 (wins minus losses), tracing the ups and downs of the season, and the last-10 strip shows current form. League-wide views live on the team strength ratings page and the net-wins chart page.

About the pennant years and the club facts

The pennant years are based on each season's final standings. The list is limited to the recent seasons stated explicitly in the heading - a shorter span than the full pennant race archive, where earlier years can be traced. Only titles belonging to the lineage of today's twelve clubs (predecessor clubs included) are counted; titles of clubs with no present-day successor are excluded. The club facts list permanent information only, each with the date it was recorded.

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