Lotte No. 5 - Standings Forecast & Analysis

Pacific League

Rank #5
W - L (T) 63 - 77 (3)
PCT .450

end of Oct 8, 2026 / npbc.media

As of the end of Oct 8, 2026, Lotte (Marines) stand in the Pacific League at No. 5 with a record of 63 - 77 (3) (winning percentage .450). We estimate their pennant odds at 0% and their Climax Series odds at 0%.

The odds ladder: pennant to championship

Pennant odds 0% Eliminated from the pennant race
Climax Series odds 0% Eliminated from Climax Series contention
Japan Series odds 0%
Championship odds 0%

Pennant and CS odds cover the regular-season finish, while Japan Series and championship odds extend into the postseason. A club that misses the pennant can still win it all through the CS, so its championship odds can exceed its pennant odds. A displayed 100% does not mean mathematical certainty, nor does 0% mean elimination.

Lotte: standings forecast

Projected finish #5
Range #5-#5
Top-3 odds 0%
Last-place odds 0%
Proj. W-L 63 - 77 (3)
Chance of each finish #1 0% / #2 0% / #3 0% / #4 0% / #5 100% / #6 0%

Team strength (Elo)

Rating 1476.4 (No. 8 of the 12 clubs)
Last 30 days ↓−8.2
vs last week ↓−0.9
Best year ('06-'25) '06 (Elo 1536.9)
Worst year ('06-'25) '17 (Elo 1458.4)

The 'Last 30 days' and 'vs last week' columns show the change from the value 30 and 7 days earlier (as of the end of that day). When the season does not yet cover a window, or there were no games in the period, the cell shows '—'.

Pitching, batting, defense and baserunning

Lotte are losing ground with Pitching (−6.8 wins against the league average). The club is a little above average in Defense, a little below average in Batting, level with the average in Baserunning.

Pitching −6.8 wins against the league average

Key playersジャクソン八木 彬鈴木 昭汰小島 和哉中森 俊介

SoftBank +10.4 wins Nippon-Ham +2.2 wins Rakuten −2.6 wins Seibu +8.7 wins ORIX −12.0 wins Lotte −6.8 wins −20 +20
SoftBank +10.4 wins Nippon-Ham +2.2 wins Rakuten −2.6 wins Seibu +8.7 wins ORIX −12.0 wins Lotte −6.8 wins −20 +20

Batting −1.9 wins against the league average

Key players山口 航輝西川 史礁佐藤 都志也藤原 恭大ソト

SoftBank +5.6 wins Nippon-Ham +2.3 wins Rakuten −3.3 wins Seibu −2.0 wins ORIX −0.8 wins Lotte −1.9 wins −10 +10
SoftBank +5.6 wins Nippon-Ham +2.3 wins Rakuten −3.3 wins Seibu −2.0 wins ORIX −0.8 wins Lotte −1.9 wins −10 +10

Defense +2.5 wins against the league average

Key players佐藤 都志也小川 龍成松川 虎生山﨑 剛友杉 篤輝

SoftBank +2.5 wins Nippon-Ham −0.1 wins Rakuten −3.7 wins Seibu +3.5 wins ORIX −4.6 wins Lotte +2.5 wins −5 +5
SoftBank +2.5 wins Nippon-Ham −0.1 wins Rakuten −3.7 wins Seibu +3.5 wins ORIX −4.6 wins Lotte +2.5 wins −5 +5

Baserunning +1.8 runs against the league average

Key players佐藤 都志也小川 龍成寺地 隆成髙部 瑛斗山﨑 剛

SoftBank +8.9 runs Nippon-Ham +3.6 runs Rakuten −9.7 runs Seibu +2.9 runs ORIX −7.5 runs Lotte +1.8 runs −10 +10
SoftBank +8.9 runs Nippon-Ham +3.6 runs Rakuten −9.7 runs Seibu +2.9 runs ORIX −7.5 runs Lotte +1.8 runs −10 +10

Dots are this league's six clubs in club colors; the large dot is this club and the center line is the league average.

Each of the four figures says how many wins pitching, batting, defense and baserunning are worth against the average of the same league.

Breakdown of the key players' numbers

Batting overall D− (No. 11 of the 12 clubs)

  • Contact E+(No. 10 of the 12 clubs)
  • Power D+(No. 7 of the 12 clubs)
  • Discipline E(No. 11 of the 12 clubs)
  • Baserunning E+(No. 9 of the 12 clubs)

Pitching overall G (No. 12 of the 12 clubs)

  • Prevention F−(No. 12 of the 12 clubs)
  • Strikeouts G(No. 12 of the 12 clubs)
  • Control E(No. 12 of the 12 clubs)
  • Durability D(No. 8 of the 12 clubs)

The season so far

Lotte Games over .500 end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media −15 −10 −5 ±0 Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct M −14

Scroll right to see the full chart

Lotte Games over .500 end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media −15 −10 −5 ±0 Apr Jun Aug Oct M −14
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Last 10: 4 - 6

Recent form (last 10 games)

  • Run differential−10Last 10
  • 2-game losing streak
Lotte Runs scored and allowed in the last 10 games end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media 2 2 4 4 6 6 8 8 Avg 3.44 Avg 4.10 6 1 3 8 6 3 0 3 1 3 3 4 2 1 3 2 1 7 0 3 ○ ● ○ ● ● ● ○ ○ ● ● Sep 27 Sep 28 Sep 29 Sep 30 Oct 1 Oct 2 Oct 3 Oct 4 Oct 5 Oct 6

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Lotte Runs scored and allowed in the last 10 games end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media 2 2 4 4 6 6 8 8 3.44 4.10 ○ ● ○ ● ● ● ○ ○ ● ● Oct 1 Oct 6
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  • Runs per game ↓−0.94 Season3.44(No. 6 of the 12 clubs) Last 102.50
  • Runs allowed per game ↓−0.60 Season4.10(No. 11 of the 12 clubs) Last 103.50
  • Batting average .000 Season.236(No. 9 of the 12 clubs) Last 10.235
  • Home runs per game ↑+0.18 Season0.92(No. 3 of the 12 clubs) Last 101.10
  • Stolen bases per game ↓−0.31 Season0.31(No. 11 of the 12 clubs) Last 100.00
  • ERA ↓−0.50 Season3.84(No. 11 of the 12 clubs) Last 103.34

Shows how much better or worse the last 10 games have been than the season average.

Batting average, home runs, stolen bases and ERA are as of Oct 7, 2026.

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Games in Oct and Nov

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Pacific League Lotte - Games in Oct and Nov
Date Opponent Ballpark Result /
Start
Thu, Oct 1 F ZOZO ● 1-3
Fri, Oct 2 H ZOZO ● 3-4
Sat, Oct 3 H ZOZO ○ 2-1
Sun, Oct 4 E ZOZO ○ 3-2
Mon, Oct 5 L ZOZO ● 1-7
Tue, Oct 6 L ZOZO ● 0-3

○ = win, ● = loss, △ = tie. A venue other than this club's home (ZOZO Marine) normally means an away game, and games played away from the host club's regular park carry a Home / Away tag. Scores list this club's runs first, and games still to be played show the scheduled start time.

This season's games are over.

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Championship odds across the last 10 games

Even by winning every remaining game, Lotte cannot reach the winning percentage another club would finish with by losing all of theirs, so the pennant is out of reach.

Lotte championship odds

Over the last 10 games: 0% → 0%. The pennant is out of reach.

end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media 0 50 100 Championship odds (%) 0% 0% Sep 27 Now

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end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media 0 50 100 Championship odds (%) 0% 0% Sep 27 Now

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Lotte - recent games and championship odds
Date Opponent Result Championship odds
(after the game)
Change
Sun, Sep 27 FZOZO ○ 6-1 0% ±0.0 pt
Mon, Sep 28 FZOZO ● 3-8 0% ±0.0 pt
Tue, Sep 29 ERaku­ten ○ 6-3 0% ±0.0 pt
Wed, Sep 30 ERaku­ten ● 0-3 0% ±0.0 pt
Thu, Oct 1 FZOZO ● 1-3 0% ±0.0 pt
Fri, Oct 2 HZOZO ● 3-4 0% ±0.0 pt
Sat, Oct 3 HZOZO ○ 2-1 0% ±0.0 pt
Sun, Oct 4 EZOZO ○ 3-2 0% ±0.0 pt
Mon, Oct 5 LZOZO ● 1-7 0% ±0.0 pt
Tue, Oct 6 LZOZO ● 0-3 0% ±0.0 pt

Change = the difference of a value that reflects every game played on that date, including the results of the other clubs.

The line under the opponent is the venue as listed in the official NPB schedule. A park other than the club's home (ZOZO Marine) normally means an away game; games played away from the host club's regular park carry a Home / Away tag.

League pennants (2006-2025)

No league pennant within this window.

Age profile

Throws right Throws left Catchers Infielders Outfielders (Development players) Holding a top-team place Players from outside Japan

PitchersAgePosition players
39角中 勝也
38
唐川 侑己益田 直也37N.ソト
36
西野 勇士石川 柊太35岡 大海G.ポランコ
34中村 奨吾
J.ルケーシー33藤岡 裕大石川 慎吾
澤田 圭佑坂本 光士郎32田村 龍弘
S.ロング31山﨑 剛
東妻 勇輔A.ジャクソン小野 郁J.カスティーヨ小島 和哉30
八木 彬河村 説人廣畑 敦也(本前 郁也)29植田 将太愛斗髙部 瑛斗
種市 篤暉(中村 亮太)高野 脩汰鈴木 昭汰28佐藤 都志也茶谷 健太小川 龍成石垣 勝海
森 遼大朗27立松 由宇安田 尚憲池田 来翔和田 康士朗
菊地 吏玖大谷 輝龍宮﨑 颯26友杉 篤輝宮崎 竜成藤原 恭大山口 航輝
横山 陸人25上田 希由翔井上 広大
大聖冨士 隼斗中森 俊介廣池 康志郎(長島 幸佑)24山本 大斗(S.アセベド)
一條 力真(永島田 輝斗)毛利 海大(秋山 正雲)23松川 虎生西川 史礁(杉山 諒)
田中 晴也22(勝又 琉偉)(髙野 光海)
木村 優人早坂 響髙橋 快秀(武内 涼太)吉川 悠斗(C.ラドニー)21寺地 隆成(富山 紘之進)(金田 優太)(松石 信八)(藤田 和樹)
坂井 遼(茨木 佑太)20(谷村 剛)
石垣 元気(中山 優人)奥村 頼人19岡村 了樹櫻井 ユウヤ

Every age on this page is the age for this season. Whether the birthday has already come round is not taken into account.

What to reinforce in the draft

Lotte's draft needs, in order: an infielder ready now, a right-handed pitcher ready now and a left-handed pitcher ready now.

Priority Right arm Left arm Catcher Infield Outfield RH hitter LH hitter
Ready now A+ A+ E− A+ E− B− C+
Future B B+ C C− B− C+ B
Priority Pitching Hitting Defense Baserunning
Skills A B D+ C

Club facts

League Pacific League
Home ballpark ZOZO Marine Stadium (Chiba) (as of the '26 season)

The estimated figures are worked out by this site and are not official announcements.

Reading the four odds figures

Pennant odds are the club's chance of finishing first in its league, worked out from how its remaining games are likely to go. CS odds are the chance of a top-three finish, Japan Series odds the chance of then surviving the Climax Series, and championship odds the chance of winning the Japan Series itself - the four figures narrow in that order. All of them are estimates that move with the season, not definitive calls.

The defensive detail is on Pacific League fielding, and the draft picks on Lotte draft picks.

Reading the Elo strength and the season trajectory

Team strength (Elo) is a strength measure that weighs the opponent's strength; 1500 is the average.

The season trajectory plots games above .500 (wins minus losses), tracing the ups and downs of the season, and the last-10 strip shows current form. League-wide views live on the team strength ratings page and the net-wins chart page.

About the pennant years and the club facts

The pennant years are based on each season's final standings. The list is limited to the recent seasons stated explicitly in the heading - a shorter span than the full pennant race archive, where earlier years can be traced. Only titles belonging to the lineage of today's twelve clubs (predecessor clubs included) are counted; titles of clubs with no present-day successor are excluded. The club facts list permanent information only, each with the date it was recorded.

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