Hanshin Pennant Odds & Analysis (2026)

Central League

Rank #1
W - L (T) 79 - 62 (2)
PCT .560

end of Oct 8, 2026 / npbc.media

As of the end of Oct 8, 2026, Hanshin (Tigers) stand in the Central League at No. 1 with a record of 79 - 62 (2) (winning percentage .560). We estimate their pennant odds at 100% and their Climax Series odds at 100%.

The odds ladder: pennant to championship

Pennant odds 100%
Climax Series odds 100%
Japan Series odds 77.7%
Championship odds 30.5%

Pennant and CS odds cover the regular-season finish, while Japan Series and championship odds extend into the postseason. A club that misses the pennant can still win it all through the CS, so its championship odds can exceed its pennant odds. A displayed 100% does not mean mathematical certainty, nor does 0% mean elimination.

Hanshin: standings forecast

Projected finish #1
Range #1-#1
Top-3 odds 100%
Last-place odds 0%
Proj. W-L 79 - 62 (2)
Chance of each finish #1 100% / #2 0% / #3 0% / #4 0% / #5 0% / #6 0%

Team strength (Elo)

Rating 1529.1 (No. 3 of the 12 clubs)
Last 30 days ↓−5.2
vs last week ↓−2.8
Best year ('06-'25) '08 (Elo 1549.8)
Worst year ('06-'25) '16 (Elo 1471.4)

The 'Last 30 days' and 'vs last week' columns show the change from the value 30 and 7 days earlier (as of the end of that day). When the season does not yet cover a window, or there were no games in the period, the cell shows '—'.

Pitching, batting, defense and baserunning

Hanshin are winning with Pitching and Batting. The club is level with the average in Defense and Baserunning.

Pitching +3.1 wins against the league average

Key players村上 頌樹髙橋 遥人才木 浩人工藤 泰成大竹 耕太郎

Yomiuri +6.2 wins DeNA −0.8 wins Hiroshima −3.2 wins Chunichi −0.2 wins Yakult −5.2 wins Hanshin +3.1 wins −10 +10
Yomiuri +6.2 wins DeNA −0.8 wins Hiroshima −3.2 wins Chunichi −0.2 wins Yakult −5.2 wins Hanshin +3.1 wins −10 +10

Batting +8.0 wins against the league average

Key players佐藤 輝明森下 翔太大山 悠輔近本 光司中野 拓夢

Yomiuri −0.3 wins DeNA +1.9 wins Hiroshima −3.9 wins Chunichi −0.1 wins Yakult −5.6 wins Hanshin +8.0 wins −10 +10
Yomiuri −0.3 wins DeNA +1.9 wins Hiroshima −3.9 wins Chunichi −0.1 wins Yakult −5.6 wins Hanshin +8.0 wins −10 +10

Defense Level with the league average

Key players坂本 誠志郎伏見 寅威中野 拓夢梅野 隆太郎元山 飛優

Yomiuri +1.9 wins DeNA −1.3 wins Hiroshima −0.3 wins Chunichi −0.9 wins Yakult +0.4 wins Hanshin +0.3 wins −5 +5
Yomiuri +1.9 wins DeNA −1.3 wins Hiroshima −0.3 wins Chunichi −0.9 wins Yakult +0.4 wins Hanshin +0.3 wins −5 +5

Baserunning −4.2 runs against the league average

Key players髙寺 望夢佐藤 輝明中野 拓夢近本 光司熊谷 敬宥

Yomiuri +1.6 runs DeNA −6.5 runs Hiroshima +9.0 runs Chunichi +0.6 runs Yakult −0.5 runs Hanshin −4.2 runs −10 +10
Yomiuri +1.6 runs DeNA −6.5 runs Hiroshima +9.0 runs Chunichi +0.6 runs Yakult −0.5 runs Hanshin −4.2 runs −10 +10

Dots are this league's six clubs in club colors; the large dot is this club and the center line is the league average.

Each of the four figures says how many wins pitching, batting, defense and baserunning are worth against the average of the same league.

Breakdown of the key players' numbers

Batting overall A (No. 1 of the 12 clubs)

  • Contact B(No. 3 of the 12 clubs)
  • Power C(No. 6 of the 12 clubs)
  • Discipline A+(No. 1 of the 12 clubs)
  • Baserunning B+(No. 2 of the 12 clubs)

Pitching overall S− (No. 1 of the 12 clubs)

  • Prevention B(No. 3 of the 12 clubs)
  • Strikeouts B(No. 2 of the 12 clubs)
  • Control S(No. 1 of the 12 clubs)
  • Durability B+(No. 2 of the 12 clubs)

The season so far

Hanshin Games over .500 end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media ±0 +5 +10 +15 +20 Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct T +17

Scroll right to see the full chart

Hanshin Games over .500 end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media ±0 +5 +10 +15 +20 Apr Jun Aug Oct T +17
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Last 10: 5 - 4 (1)

Recent form (last 10 games)

  • Run differential+8Last 10
Hanshin Runs scored and allowed in the last 10 games end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media 2 2 4 4 6 6 8 8 Avg 3.62 Avg 3.07 8 4 1 2 8 3 5 0 2 2 4 6 1 2 2 1 2 1 0 4 ○ ● ○ ○ △ ● ● ○ ○ ● Sep 23 Sep 25 Sep 26 Sep 30 Oct 1 Oct 3 Oct 4 Oct 6 Oct 7 Oct 8 (provisional)

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Hanshin Runs scored and allowed in the last 10 games end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media 2 2 4 4 6 6 8 8 3.62 3.07 ○ ● ○ ○ △ ● ● ○ ○ ● Oct 1 Oct 8 (provisional)
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  • Runs per game ↓−0.32 Season3.62(No. 4 of the 12 clubs) Last 103.30
  • Runs allowed per game ↓−0.57 Season3.07(No. 1 of the 12 clubs) Last 102.50
  • Batting average ↑+.021 Season.247(No. 3 of the 12 clubs) Last 10.268
  • Home runs per game ↑+0.12 Season0.88(No. 4 of the 12 clubs) Last 101.00
  • Stolen bases per game ↑+0.29 Season0.51(No. 5 of the 12 clubs) Last 100.80
  • ERA ↓−0.35 Season2.78(No. 1 of the 12 clubs) Last 102.43

Shows how much better or worse the last 10 games have been than the season average.

Batting average, home runs, stolen bases and ERA are as of Oct 7, 2026.

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Games in Oct and Nov

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Central League Hanshin - Games in Oct and Nov
Date Opponent Ballpark Result /
Start
Thu, Oct 1 G Ko­shien △ 2-2
Sat, Oct 3 C Mazda ● 4-6
Sun, Oct 4 DB Yoko­hama ● 1-2
Tue, Oct 6 C Ko­shien ○ 2-1
Wed, Oct 7 C Ko­shien ○ 2-1
Thu, Oct 8 S Home ● 0-4

○ = win, ● = loss, △ = tie. A venue other than this club's home (Koshien) normally means an away game, and games played away from the host club's regular park carry a Home / Away tag. Scores list this club's runs first, and games still to be played show the scheduled start time.

This season's games are over.

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Championship odds across the last 10 games

Title clinched

Hanshin championship odds

Over the last 10 games: 77% → 100%. The pennant is clinched.

end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media 0 50 100 Championship odds (%) 78.7% 100% Sep 23 Now

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end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media 0 50 100 Championship odds (%) 78.7% 100% Sep 23 Now

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Hanshin - recent games and championship odds
Date Opponent Result Championship odds
(after the game)
Change
Wed, Sep 23 SJingu ○ 8-4 78.7% +1.7 pt
Fri, Sep 25 DBYoko­hama ● 1-2 89.1% +3.0 pt
Sat, Sep 26 DBYoko­hama ○ 8-3 94.2% +5.1 pt
Wed, Sep 30 SKo­shien ○ 5-0 92.6% +4.5 pt
Thu, Oct 1 GKo­shien △ 2-2 96.3% +3.7 pt
Sat, Oct 3 CMazda ● 4-6 100% +0.5 pt
Sun, Oct 4 DBYoko­hama ● 1-2 100% ±0.0 pt
Tue, Oct 6 CKo­shien ○ 2-1 100% ±0.0 pt
Wed, Oct 7 CKo­shien ○ 2-1 100% ±0.0 pt
Thu, Oct 8 SHome ● 0-4 (provisional) 100% ±0.0 pt

Change = the difference of a value that reflects every game played on that date, including the results of the other clubs.

The line under the opponent is the venue as listed in the official NPB schedule. A park other than the club's home (Koshien) normally means an away game; games played away from the host club's regular park carry a Home / Away tag.

League pennants (2006-2025)

Pennants in this window: 2

Age profile

Throws right Throws left Catchers Infielders Outfielders (Development players) Holding a top-team place Players from outside Japan

PitchersAgePosition players
R.ドリス38
37
西 勇輝36伏見 寅威
岩崎 優岩貞 祐太35梅野 隆太郎
34糸原 健斗
33坂本 誠志郎
畠 世周A.セベリーノ32長坂 拳弥木浪 聖也大山 悠輔近本 光司
大竹 耕太郎髙橋 遥人31熊谷 敬宥
D.モレッタ伊藤 将司E.ルーカス30植田 海中野 拓夢島田 海吏
石井 大智(小川 一平)29C.ディベイニー豊田 寛
C.ラグズデール村上 頌樹才木 浩人28榮枝 裕貴元山 飛優D.ガルシア小野寺 暖
湯浅 京己岡留 英貴早川 太貴(松原 快)桐敷 拓馬(伊藤 稜)27佐藤 輝明
(A.マルティネス)伊原 陵人26小幡 竜平森下 翔太濱田 太貴(S.コンスエグラ)
木下 里都石黒 佑弥津田 淳哉能登 嵩都工藤 泰成及川 雅貴富田 蓮25藤田 健斗(川﨑 俊哲)福島 圭音(西 純矢)
椎葉 剛下村 海翔24佐野 大陽髙寺 望夢(J.アルナエス)(山﨑 照英)
神宮 僚介23町田 隼乙嶋村 麟士朗立石 正広前川 右京岡城 快生
茨木 秀俊門別 啓人22中川 勇斗谷端 将伍
21山田 脩也百﨑 蒼生(戸井 零士)井坪 陽生
今朝丸 裕喜20
早瀬 朔19

Every age on this page is the age for this season. Whether the birthday has already come round is not taken into account.

What to reinforce in the draft

Hanshin's draft needs, in order: an infielder for the future, a right-handed pitcher for the future and a catcher for the future.

Priority Right arm Left arm Catcher Infield Outfield RH hitter LH hitter
Ready now E− E− B E+ F F E−
Future A+ C A+ A+ F F B+
Priority Pitching Hitting Defense Baserunning
Skills C− D− C+ B+

Club facts

League Central League
Home ballpark Hanshin Koshien Stadium (Nishinomiya, Hyogo) (as of the '26 season)

The estimated figures are worked out by this site and are not official announcements.

Reading the four odds figures

Pennant odds are the club's chance of finishing first in its league, worked out from how its remaining games are likely to go. CS odds are the chance of a top-three finish, Japan Series odds the chance of then surviving the Climax Series, and championship odds the chance of winning the Japan Series itself - the four figures narrow in that order. All of them are estimates that move with the season, not definitive calls.

The defensive detail is on Central League fielding, and the draft picks on Hanshin draft picks.

Reading the Elo strength and the season trajectory

Team strength (Elo) is a strength measure that weighs the opponent's strength; 1500 is the average.

The season trajectory plots games above .500 (wins minus losses), tracing the ups and downs of the season, and the last-10 strip shows current form. League-wide views live on the team strength ratings page and the net-wins chart page.

About the pennant years and the club facts

The pennant years are based on each season's final standings. The list is limited to the recent seasons stated explicitly in the heading - a shorter span than the full pennant race archive, where earlier years can be traced. Only titles belonging to the lineage of today's twelve clubs (predecessor clubs included) are counted; titles of clubs with no present-day successor are excluded. The club facts list permanent information only, each with the date it was recorded.

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