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Yomiuri Pennant Odds & Analysis (2026)

Central League

Rank #2
W - L (T) 76 - 64 (3)
PCT .543

end of Oct 8, 2026 / npbc.media

As of the end of Oct 8, 2026, Yomiuri stand in the Central League at No. 2 with a record of 76 - 64 (3) (winning percentage .543). We estimate their pennant odds at 0% and their Climax Series odds at 100%.

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The odds ladder: pennant to championship

Pennant odds 0% Eliminated from the pennant race
Climax Series odds 100%
Japan Series odds 13.6%
Championship odds 4.9%

Pennant and CS odds cover the regular-season finish, while Japan Series and championship odds extend into the postseason. A club that misses the pennant can still win it all through the CS, so its championship odds can exceed its pennant odds. A displayed 100% does not mean mathematical certainty, nor does 0% mean elimination.

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Yomiuri: standings forecast

Projected finish #2
Range #2-#2
Top-3 odds 100%
Last-place odds 0%
Proj. W-L 76 - 64 (3)
Chance of each finish #1 0% / #2 100% / #3 0% / #4 0% / #5 0% / #6 0%
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Team strength (Elo)

Rating 1511.6 (No. 4 of the 12 clubs)
Last 30 days ↓−1.0
vs last week ↓−3.3
Best year ('06-'25) '09 (Elo 1565.5)
Worst year ('06-'25) '06 (Elo 1469.6)

The 'Last 30 days' and 'vs last week' columns show the change from the value 30 and 7 days earlier (as of the end of that day). When the season does not yet cover a window, or there were no games in the period, the cell shows '—'.

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Pitching, batting, defense and baserunning

Yomiuri are winning with Pitching (+6.2 wins against the league average). The club is a little above average in Defense, level with the average in Batting and Baserunning.

Pitching +6.2 wins against the league average

Key players井上 温大ウィットリー戸郷 翔征マルティネス小笠原 慎之介

Hanshin +3.1 wins DeNA −0.8 wins Hiroshima −3.2 wins Chunichi −0.2 wins Yakult −5.2 wins Yomiuri +6.2 wins −10 +10
Hanshin +3.1 wins DeNA −0.8 wins Hiroshima −3.2 wins Chunichi −0.2 wins Yakult −5.2 wins Yomiuri +6.2 wins −10 +10

Batting Level with the league average

Key playersダルベック泉口 友汰大城 卓三佐々木 俊輔キャベッジ

Hanshin +8.0 wins DeNA +1.9 wins Hiroshima −3.9 wins Chunichi −0.1 wins Yakult −5.6 wins Yomiuri −0.3 wins −10 +10
Hanshin +8.0 wins DeNA +1.9 wins Hiroshima −3.9 wins Chunichi −0.1 wins Yakult −5.6 wins Yomiuri −0.3 wins −10 +10

Defense +1.9 wins against the league average

Key players大城 卓三泉口 友汰浦田 俊輔岸田 行倫吉川 尚輝

Hanshin +0.3 wins DeNA −1.3 wins Hiroshima −0.3 wins Chunichi −0.9 wins Yakult +0.4 wins Yomiuri +1.9 wins −5 +5
Hanshin +0.3 wins DeNA −1.3 wins Hiroshima −0.3 wins Chunichi −0.9 wins Yakult +0.4 wins Yomiuri +1.9 wins −5 +5

Baserunning +1.6 runs against the league average

Key players浦田 俊輔石塚 裕惺泉口 友汰平山 功太門脇 誠

Hanshin −4.2 runs DeNA −6.5 runs Hiroshima +9.0 runs Chunichi +0.6 runs Yakult −0.5 runs Yomiuri +1.6 runs −10 +10
Hanshin −4.2 runs DeNA −6.5 runs Hiroshima +9.0 runs Chunichi +0.6 runs Yakult −0.5 runs Yomiuri +1.6 runs −10 +10
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Dots are this league's six clubs in club colors; the large dot is this club and the center line is the league average.

Each of the four figures says how many wins pitching, batting, defense and baserunning are worth against the average of the same league.

Breakdown of the key players' numbers

Batting overall C− (No. 9 of the 12 clubs)

  • Contact C−(No. 7 of the 12 clubs)
  • Power D−(No. 9 of the 12 clubs)
  • Discipline D+(No. 7 of the 12 clubs)
  • Baserunning D(No. 7 of the 12 clubs)

Pitching overall C− (No. 6 of the 12 clubs)

  • Prevention B+(No. 2 of the 12 clubs)
  • Strikeouts B+(No. 1 of the 12 clubs)
  • Control D−(No. 11 of the 12 clubs)
  • Durability E(No. 12 of the 12 clubs)
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The season so far

Yomiuri Games over .500 end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media ±0 +5 +10 +15 Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct G +12

Scroll right to see the full chart

Yomiuri Games over .500 end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media ±0 +5 +10 +15 Apr Jun Aug Oct G +12
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Last 10: 4 - 5 (1)

Recent form (last 10 games)

  • Run differential+4Last 10
  • 2-game losing streak
Yomiuri Runs scored and allowed in the last 10 games end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media 5 5 10 10 15 15 Avg 3.40 Avg 3.10 3 2 1 2 2 1 1 3 2 3 11 0 3 1 2 2 1 5 2 5 ○ ● ○ ● ● ○ ○ △ ● ● Sep 20 Sep 22 Sep 23 Sep 24 Sep 25 Sep 27 Sep 29 Oct 1 Oct 2 Oct 3

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Yomiuri Runs scored and allowed in the last 10 games end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media 5 5 10 10 15 15 3.40 3.10 ○ ● ○ ● ● ○ ○ △ ● ● Sep 25 Oct 3
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  • Runs per game ↓−0.60 Season3.40(No. 7 of the 12 clubs) Last 102.80
  • Runs allowed per game ↓−0.70 Season3.10(No. 2 of the 12 clubs) Last 102.40
  • Batting average ↓−.045 Season.234(No. 10 of the 12 clubs) Last 10.188
  • Home runs per game ↓−0.22 Season0.72(No. 8 of the 12 clubs) Last 100.50
  • Stolen bases per game ↓−0.19 Season0.69(No. 1 of the 12 clubs) Last 100.50
  • ERA ↓−0.64 Season2.80(No. 2 of the 12 clubs) Last 102.16

Shows how much better or worse the last 10 games have been than the season average.

Batting average, home runs, stolen bases and ERA are as of Oct 7, 2026.

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Games in Oct and Nov

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Central League Yomiuri - Games in Oct and Nov
Date Opponent Ballpark Result /
Start
Thu, Oct 1 T Ko­shien △ 2-2
Fri, Oct 2 S Jingu ● 1-5
Sat, Oct 3 DB Tokyo D ● 2-5
Sat, Oct 10 DB Tokyo D 14:00
Sun, Oct 11 DB Tokyo D 14:00
Mon (hol), Oct 12 DB Tokyo D 14:00

○ = win, ● = loss, △ = tie. A venue other than this club's home (Tokyo Dome) normally means an away game, and games played away from the host club's regular park carry a Home / Away tag. Scores list this club's runs first, and games still to be played show the scheduled start time.

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Championship odds across the last 10 games

Even by winning every remaining game, Yomiuri cannot reach the winning percentage another club would finish with by losing all of theirs, so the pennant is out of reach.

Yomiuri championship odds

Over the last 10 games: 47.8% → 0%. The pennant is out of reach.

end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media 0 50 100 Championship odds (%) 46.2% 0% Sep 20 Now

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end of Oct 8, 2026 npbc.media 0 50 100 Championship odds (%) 46.2% 0% Sep 20 Now

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Yomiuri - recent games and championship odds
Date Opponent Result Championship odds
(after the game)
Change
Sun, Sep 20 STokyo D ○ 3-2 46.2% −1.6 pt
Tue, Sep 22 CMazda ● 1-2 23% −16.2 pt
Wed, Sep 23 CMazda ○ 2-1 21.3% −1.7 pt
Thu, Sep 24 CMazda ● 1-3 13.9% −7.4 pt
Fri, Sep 25 CMazda ● 2-3 10.9% −3.0 pt
Sun, Sep 27 STokyo D ○ 11-0 8.2% +2.3 pt
Tue, Sep 29 CTokyo D ○ 3-1 11.9% +3.4 pt
Thu, Oct 1 TKo­shien △ 2-2 3.7% −3.7 pt
Fri, Oct 2 SJingu ● 1-5 0.5% −3.2 pt
Sat, Oct 3 DBTokyo D ● 2-5 0% −0.5 pt

Change = the difference of a value that reflects every game played on that date, including the results of the other clubs.

The line under the opponent is the venue as listed in the official NPB schedule. A park other than the club's home (Tokyo Dome) normally means an away game; games played away from the host club's regular park carry a Home / Away tag.

League pennants (2006-2025)

Pennants in this window: 9

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Age profile

Throws right Throws left Catchers Infielders Outfielders (Development players) Holding a top-team place Players from outside Japan

PitchersAgePosition players
田中 将大38坂本 勇人
37小林 誠司丸 佳浩
則本 昂大36
35
高梨 雄平34甲斐 拓也
A.バルドナード33大城 卓三増田 大輝松本 剛
中川 皓太32
(板東 湧梧)31吉川 尚輝B.ダルベック
S.ハワードR.マルティネス船迫 大雅30岸田 行倫
泉 圭輔F.ウィットリー森田 駿哉小笠原 慎之介29T.キャベッジ
平内 龍太山﨑 伊織石川 達也28郡 拓也(喜多 隆介)
B.マタ大勢赤星 優志田中 瑛斗又木 鉄平(富田 龍)27(亀田 啓太)泉口 友汰リチャード鈴木 大和佐々木 俊輔
E.ルシアーノ戸郷 翔征(松井 颯)北浦 竜次横川 凱山田 龍聖26(李 健熙)湯浅 大増田 陸岡田 悠希知念 大成萩尾 匡也
堀田 賢慎井上 温大(冨重 英二郎)25山瀬 慎之助門脇 誠小濱 佑斗
西舘 勇陽(木下 幹也)竹丸 和幸宮原 駿介24(坂本 達也)浦田 俊輔荒巻 悠(川原田 純平)中山 礼都(C.フェリス)
田和 廉(林 燦)(花田 侑樹)松浦 慶斗代木 大和山城 京平(石田 隼都)(河野 優作)23皆川 岳飛
(京本 眞)(田村 朋輝)(森本 哲星)(吉村 優聖歩)22平山 功太宇都宮 葵星(中田 歩夢)笹原 操希三塚 琉生J.ティマ浅野 翔吾(相澤 白虎)
(園田 純規)(千葉 隆広)(黃 錦豪)21(北村 流音)(田上 優弥)(村山 源)
(鈴木 圭晋)(石田 充冴)(堀江 正太郎)(西川 歩)(F.グズマン)20石塚 裕惺(竹下 徠空)
(吹田 志道)19(松井 蓮太朗)藤井 健翔

Every age on this page is the age for this season. Whether the birthday has already come round is not taken into account.

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What to reinforce in the draft

Yomiuri's draft needs, in order: a catcher for the future, an outfielder ready now and a right-handed hitter ready now.

Priority Right arm Left arm Catcher Infield Outfield RH hitter LH hitter
Ready now E+ D E− B− A+ A+ D
Future B+ E− A+ E+ E− E+ E−
Priority Pitching Hitting Defense Baserunning
Skills D+ C+ C− C+
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Club facts

League Central League
Home ballpark Tokyo Dome (Bunkyo, Tokyo) (as of the '26 season)

The estimated figures are worked out by this site and are not official announcements.

Reading the four odds figures

Pennant odds are the club's chance of finishing first in its league, worked out from how its remaining games are likely to go. CS odds are the chance of a top-three finish, Japan Series odds the chance of then surviving the Climax Series, and championship odds the chance of winning the Japan Series itself - the four figures narrow in that order. All of them are estimates that move with the season, not definitive calls.

The defensive detail is on Central League fielding, and the draft picks on Yomiuri draft picks.

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Reading the Elo strength and the season trajectory

Team strength (Elo) is a strength measure that weighs the opponent's strength; 1500 is the average.

The season trajectory plots games above .500 (wins minus losses), tracing the ups and downs of the season, and the last-10 strip shows current form. League-wide views live on the team strength ratings page and the net-wins chart page.

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About the pennant years and the club facts

The pennant years are based on each season's final standings. The list is limited to the recent seasons stated explicitly in the heading - a shorter span than the full pennant race archive, where earlier years can be traced. Only titles belonging to the lineage of today's twelve clubs (predecessor clubs included) are counted; titles of clubs with no present-day successor are excluded. The club facts list permanent information only, each with the date it was recorded.

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