The best outlook is 山﨑 康晃, 250 saves with 4 saves to go, and 4 players have a high outlook.
Ordered by Outlook
- High 山﨑 康晃98 %
- High 丸 佳浩98 %
- High 丸 佳浩97 %
- High 柳田 悠岐95 %
- High 菊池 涼介95 %
- Low 岸 孝之87 %
- Low 涌井 秀章85 %
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The word at the head of each row is the outlook (High, Medium, Low). Each bar is the career total against the mark, and the right end of the track is the mark.
Remaining and Outlook by Milestone
| Record | Player and outlook | Now | To go |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2,000 hits | 丸 佳浩HighAt 65 hits a year, from age 37 it arrives in about 1 years, in pro year 20. This season is below last season. | 1952 | 48 |
| 2,000 hits | 菊池 涼介HighAt 105 hits a year, from age 36 it arrives in about 2 years, in pro year 17. This season is above last season. | 1891 | 109 |
| 300 home runs | 丸 佳浩HighAt 5 home runs a year, from age 37 it arrives in about 2 years, in pro year 21. This season is below last season. | 291 | 9 |
| 300 home runs | 柳田 悠岐HighAt 10 home runs a year, from age 38 it arrives in about 2 years, in pro year 18. This season is above last season. | 285 | 15 |
| 200 wins | 石川 雅規UnlikelyAt 0.8 wins a year, it is still short even 20 seasons from now. This season is below last season. | 188 | 12 |
| 200 wins | 岸 孝之LowAt 5 wins a year, from age 42 it arrives in about 7 years, in pro year 27. This season is below last season. | 174 | 26 |
| 200 wins | 涌井 秀章LowAt 4 wins a year, from age 40 it arrives in about 13 years, in pro year 35. | 170 | 30 |
| 250 saves | 山﨑 康晃HighAt 9 saves a year, from age 34 it arrives in about 1 years, in pro year 13. This season is above last season. | 246 | 4 |
| 2,000 strikeouts | 石川 雅規UnlikelyAt 10 strikeouts a year, it is still short even 20 seasons from now. This season is below last season. | 1787 | 213 |
How to read this table
- Players who have already reached the mark are not listed.
- The figures come from the official statistics as of the reference date and change day by day during the season. They are final once the season ends.
- The expected date is an estimate worked out from the official statistics.
- Retirement and injury cannot be taken into account.
- Only career totals from Japanese first-team official games are counted.
- The small vertical bars are the season by season figures for the last five seasons, oldest on the left. A season whose figures cannot be read is drawn as a thin line.
How the Estimate Is Made
Career totals are the sum from Japanese first-team official games; records from abroad are not included. To go is the number to the milestone, taken from the official career total.
Expected to reach comes from a per-year figure that weights the last three seasons, with the most recent season weighted most, and finds the year the milestone is met. The figure is eased down gently with age. It is not decided by this season's count alone.
The outlook is shown in four words (high, medium, low, unlikely to reach), set by the number of seasons until the milestone is met. No shares or probabilities are published. Players with too few appearances for a per-year figure keep their row and are shown as unlikely to reach.
A player is also shown as unlikely to reach when the age at which the milestone would arrive is past the age ceiling of players appearing in the first team. That ceiling is worked out afresh from the roster and the statistics of the day, so it is not a fixed age.
The sentence on each row carries the per-year figure, the age, the years as a professional and whether this season is above or below last season. The small vertical bars are the season by season figures for the last five seasons.
Frequently asked questions
Are records from outside Japan included?
No. Only career totals from Japanese first-team official games are counted. Numbers put up with clubs abroad do not enter the official career total, so they are not covered here either.
Do injury and retirement enter the outlook?
No. It is an estimate worked out from the official statistics alone. A long absence changes the outlook a great deal. For players with few appearances no outlook is given and only the row is kept.
How are the four steps of confidence decided?
By the number of seasons until the milestone is met. It steps down from within this season, to a few seasons away, to further out. No shares or probabilities are published.